Weekly Economic Data.. 28th Oct..
by on Oct 29, 2011 •An excellent report from WF this week.. the data in the US is mixed but the latest GDP forecasts improved.. (GDP always rises in a positive inflation environment as governments understate inflation and therefore over state GDP growth. The oldest trick in the book of course). Wonderfully WF picks up on the ‘financial repression’ strategy....
‘Equities The Only Show in Town’.. Due to Unlimited Monetary Expansion
by on Oct 27, 2011 •Further to the post from a month ago.. http://www.capitalsynthesis.tech/international-equities-the-only-show-in-town/ Today was not about the European news flow. Today was simply a tiny portion of the wall of capital that is resting in cash and bonds entering the equity markets. Participants in cash are beginning to see the future and that future is all about a...
Debt vs Guarantee – The Latest ‘Off Balance Sheet’ Euro Ponzi Scheme..
by on Oct 27, 2011 •Throughout our history it is said that the most effective ponzi schemes are the ones that no one can understand. If you can present a complex ponzi scheme to an investor that is near panic with fear or greed you will be able to run your ponzi scheme. The scheme works as the goal of...
Precious Metal Break their Ranges.. Another HUI False Dawn?
by on Oct 25, 2011 •Gold and silver both scored parabolic moves in 2011, have the parabolic moves finished or are we about to see a dramatic leg up? We shall soon see guys. http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/25_Stephen_Leeb_-_China_Will_Send_Gold_%26_Silver_to_the_Moon.html Today may or may not be the long promised dawn for the pm miners but there have been interesting price moves as the pm metals...
Weekly Technical Comments.. Buy The Dips..
by on Oct 25, 2011 •The UBS team retain their bullishness with the recent ‘melt up’ being consistent with a short squeeze and therefore highly likely that a retrace comes now given the short covering that has occurred as the levels got blown over. This fits with the bearish sentiment in the market we saw before the melt. I also...
‘Euro Farse’ Sat Update – “It was Grim. The worst mood I have ever seen. A complete mess”. The Final Act Moves to Wednesday
by on Oct 22, 2011 •There is no way i can do justice to the issues around the euro at present. To do so would require a small book by way of monetary explanation and discussion. The issues are certainly deep and complex and their resolution or not is even more complex given the twists and turns by the eurocrasts...
Weekly Technical Update.. Short Term Corrective Move Consistent Within Rally
by on Oct 18, 2011 •Report here below.. will update later with, hopefully, more meaningful comments as under time pressure here.. Rich UBSWeekly18-10
A European Farce.. Inc Update2
by on Oct 18, 2011 •We had a decent bounce in equities across the world in the last few weeks. We have a mild retrace at present which is needed to allow the indexes to push onward again soon. Pick your levels as entries to join the rally but keep stops fairly close given the issues we see all around...
Weekly Economic Indicators (WF) -14th Oct 2011
by on Oct 15, 2011 •We continue to see no ‘off the cliff’ sort of declines in the leading economic indicators. Just as there was a disconnect earlier in the year as regards the weakening data and high equity valuations so too, on the lows of 2 weeks ago, there was a disconnect between the weak (though not disasterous) economic...
UBS Weekly Technical Update – ‘Multi Month Rally Within A Cyclical Bear – Buy Pull Backs’ 11th Oct
by on Oct 13, 2011 •Apologies for the delay in posting up.. Ive been traveling between beach, mountain & city. Below the UBS technical view. Its a complex report this and contains many gems. The summary is sp500 above 1074 or so (on a closing basis) signifies the low is in for this wave of the cyclical bear. They suggest...
Weekly Economic Indicators (WF) – 7th Oct 2011
by on Oct 8, 2011 •We are continuing to see a softening of the data rather than falling off a cliff data coming through. Well’s reviews the various reports, provides a snap shot international perspective and a mini tribute to Steve Jobs. WF-Economic-10072011 In my mind we have the ‘natural’ cycle that demands governments and consumers pay down debt and...
Households Increasingly Allocate Capital to Bonds & Cash
by on Oct 7, 2011 •We have got the bounce in equities with all those different indexes bang at their supports as indicated. CRB etc.. I have leverage in my main investment account and ‘loaded the boat’ as said in the forum pages. (For clarity i do still have pockets of cash which i will allocate on market opportunities and...