Nordic Region 2013 Economic Projections – “Growth Continues But Dark Clouds On Horizon”
by on Dec 25, 2012 •Here below a fundamental economic report providing an economic outlook on the Nordic region care of Nordea. The report makes clear the lower growth projections for Sweden and Denmark for 2013. Norway is set to expand more rapidly than 2012 and Sweden more slowly. Both events will each create interesting dilemmas for their central banks...
Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Gold Above 1672/1661 Short & Medium Term Remains Bullish”
by on Dec 19, 2012 •The German team have been chopped up in this difficult short term trading range but they are sticking to their short and medium term call ie bullish both Silver and Gold. Key levels gold to hold (and trade off for the bargain hunters) is 1672 down to 1661 at an extreme. BullionWeeklyTech-181212 I would agree...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Momentum Work Toppish, Watch Gold, EMs Bullish”
by on Dec 18, 2012 •Another great and final macro technical report for 2012 from the Swiss team. I’m in the process of my annual migration to the mountains so i’ll simply post up the report for now. Weekly18-12 I’ll comment more meaningfully tomorrow but quickly I believe the rotation is in full motion against a back drop of multi...
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Seymour’s Equity Research – “Inflationary Deflation” Report
by on Dec 17, 2012 •Seymour Equity have produced an outstanding report here. The attached document cuts to the core of the macro and cyclical issues facing the various asset classes. Its makes extensive use of the Kondratieff long wave theories and explains these for us. This is useful for those new to these theories. (Its worthy of note that Dr...
WF Securities 2013 Fundamental Economic Forecast – “The New Normal”
by on Dec 14, 2012 •Wells provide us the first 2013 fundamental projection report. Many more will follow of course and I’ll try and post up as many of these as I can to see what themes emerge. The Wells report is a US centric report, to my mind. I pick this single chart out from the report. This is...
Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Gold & Silver Bullish Short and Medium Term”
by on Dec 12, 2012 •The German team have worked themselves to a bullish technical view over the last few months. For them the price supports have proven themselves again and again. So long as supports continue to hold, they predict higher prices and an attempt at key resistances shortly. For my own book, I’m continuing to run my own...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Capped Near Term 1430 to 1440, Shanghai Based & Watch Silver”
by on Dec 11, 2012 •Another great macro technical report from the Swiss team. There is a lot of detail in the report from regional index comment to sector comment to commodity comments. Its a full report which i find hard to disagree with. The cyclical story is unfolding. Fundamentally it remains unproven for the moment but technically there is...
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Weekly Market Roundup – “Over Weight High Yield Equities, Under Weight Cash”
by on Dec 10, 2012 •SC stick to the same themes they have held for the last year now. Namely over weight high yield equities and FI and under weight cash, money market funds. They like oil and gold for the geo political hedges they provide. I also include their fx round up and forward looking which is released today....
Weekly Technical Bullion Comments – ‘Gold Still Bullish Above 1672’
by on Dec 5, 2012 •Here the German team stick to their medium term bullish call on the bullion so long as the November lows are not beaten. BullionWeeklyTechnicals04122012 Their short term view on gold has gone neutral but not on silver where they remain bullish on both timescales. I increased allocations to both metals though more so on silver...
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Weekly Technical Comments – Near Term Overbought But New Highs For Q1 2013.
by on Dec 5, 2012 •The Swiss team remain bullish and pro risk. Near term they forecast these overbought conditions to be worked off a little before new highs are achieved. They remain true to their buy their cyclical forecasts though admit that these themes have disappointed thus far. They pick out the Shanghai and the gold miners are being...