Monthly archive October, 2013
by
prestonni
on
Oct 29, 2013 •
BarCap here basically going all in on all asset classes to the end of 2013. A super bullish call this. No matter fixed income, Piigs fixed income, oil, equities, junk, bullion. In summary, put on the blind fold or hand the dart to the chimp, and go all in. BARCAP-WKLYMACROTECH-25-10-13 With Yellen at the FED...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 29, 2013 •
An excellent report. No time to comment on it but a nice walk through this by the private banking team in SC. SC-MonthlyGlobalMarkets-Nov13 Rich
by
prestonni
on
Oct 29, 2013 •
Just a quick update eurgbp. I have to, unfortunately, agree with them that the euro is likely making a move toward the channel resistance at circa 0.87 vs the gbp. The battle for the technical continuation of the cyclical bear vs the gbp has been running for what seems like the last 6 months. Checking...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 29, 2013 •
A nice report here which adds another arrow to the technical view on the markets. I like the level of the shorts on WTI, as one example playing into the weak seasonals for the instrument. Purely from a trading perspective if they can be ‘turned over’ these are the sorts of games that traders like...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 29, 2013 •
Many participants are neutral here. They are trading small volumes until we get a bit more clarity which way we are heading here. Here Scotia, to an extent, telling us what we already know but nice analysis and puts some meat on the bones technically on the fx pairs. ScotiaB-FX-25-10-13 Rich
by
prestonni
on
Oct 28, 2013 •
Here below the latest major pairs review from SC. They remain bullish euro short term up to a possible 1.418 level. But they also remain US$ bulls on the more medium term horizon. They are neutral GBPUSD and bearish USDJPY given the crowded net long position near term. Without delay here the report: SC-FXWklytech-28-10-13 All...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
Here the Commerz economic team for the week ahead. Commerz-weeklyecon-25-10-13 And WF, review of the key data and a look ahead WeeklyEconomicFinancialCommentary_10252013 Rich
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
A couple of interesting pairs from the Nomura team. The USDJPY I like the look of. Here the report: Nomura-USDJPY-25-10-13 Here the USDCAD nomura-USDCAD-251013 Rich
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
Apologies for the late update on this report. I’ll be quicker on this week’s release. CS questioning whether the US$ ‘golden goose’ has been killed but coming down on the US$s side. CS-FX-wkly-23-10-13 They haven’t been proved wrong by price as yet but some of their calls are be questioned here. “We expect the euro...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
CS team reviewing the price moves and adjusting their forecasts for credit rates across the major markets. We have stepped back from the brink of higher rates recently. US Junk has scored a higher high and higher lows and is close to record low spreads to the UST10yr. For how long these warm tail winds...
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
Some key pairs with an emphasis on the commodity pairs to the US$. Strength in the EURO & US$ vs the NZD, CAD etc with some key levels in play. Here the report: JPM-fx-25-10-13 Rich
by
prestonni
on
Oct 27, 2013 •
Here a great set of charts across the major markets with the key technical levels according to CS. All sorts of standout charts inc the “US credit spreads threaten the year’s lows again” as commented, the spread is narrowing to the 10yr UST and this trend is motoring look at the tech price chart for...