CommerzB – Bullion Weekly Technical Analysis 22nd Oct 13
by on Oct 27, 2013 •At this interesting pivotal point in the FX markets, it follows that the bullion markets are also reaching a medium term pivotal moment. So here the Commerz team updating their views and restating the medium term importance 1350 level. “We are technically at a key juncture for the development of the next medium term trend...
JPM-Equity Tech Recommendations – 25th Oct13
by on Oct 26, 2013 •Outstanding report here below. This weeks with a lot of rich content here than needs some digestion before commenting. We each run our own independent books, methods & metrics so the report here below and I’ll come back with a few of my own comments tomorrow evening. jpm-equitytech-25-10-13 All the best Rich
Commodities / Companies / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member
CS-Weekly Wealth Management Allocations – 25th Oct13
by on Oct 26, 2013 •Another great report from the Swiss Wealth Management team re affirming many of the allocations and trades of our own in recent weeks. Equities stretched aside from large caps with significant EM exposures. Good call i believe although i think the over valuation can extend here further.(More tech tomorrow on this near term issue). WTI...
BarCap-NeartermTechFX-24-10-13
by on Oct 24, 2013 •BarCap near term analysis. Taking US$ continuation vs the Cad as one example and using the WTI weakness to justify its entry. If they are wrong on WTI they will be very wrong on the usdcad which implies a reversal and ie direction and trend on the pair. I’d be curious to ask them how...
A Historic Reminder – Wehrmacht Inflation
by on Oct 24, 2013 •The post 2008 credit crisis has provided a golden 5 year period for asset holders. Fiscal deficits and central banks liquidity injections have expanded money supply without enabling inflation as money velocity has collapsed and the banking sector have retained excess reserves on their balance sheets. Many stocks have risen 300 to 500% in the...
Commodities / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member
HSBC-Weekly – FX-Strat – 22nd Oct13
by on Oct 23, 2013 •No focus on price by the team here. A mix of other tech indicators and fundamental comments which is actually quite refreshing and useful working alongside the price tech work of the other teams. The eurusd strength is a head wind the euro area cannot with stand. The team using it as a signal that...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / Technical trading
CommerzB – Commodity FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 23Oct13
by on Oct 23, 2013 •The usual weekly technical report from CommerzB re the commodity fx pairs. The tech charts show the significance of this area for the usdcad. If the USD can get a bid she would invalidate the fairly bullish medium term chart for the cad. A breakdown for the US$ through the 200 dma would likely be...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
SChartered – FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 21-Oct13
by on Oct 23, 2013 •The usual weekly technical report from SC. They have turned bullish the eurusd pair up to 1.40 mirroring the jpm shift. Its plain to see that if we could get above the 1.40 level in the coming weeks it would be a game changer for the Dollar basket with all the asset implications this would...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Spike in Market Breadth is Bullish, New Key SP500 Support 1729!”
by on Oct 22, 2013 •A great report. The market breadth issue is meaningful and as the guys only comment on the technical I’d just make the point that this is fully explained by the shift back down in US fixed income rates in the last 4 weeks. The ten year today has slipped back down to 2.5% and this...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
CS-Commodities 22nd Oct 13 & BarCap – China Commodities Oct 21st 13
by on Oct 22, 2013 •This is what is so interesting at this point in proceedings. Many large participants are forecasting a continuation of the cyclical commodity bear and effectively the ending of the commodity super cycle. Fundamental demand and supply wise they could be correct but demand and supply do not drive price moves of commodity instruments any more....
Commodities / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Hedge Fund Watch – Greenlight “Letter to Shareholders” Oct15 & Hinde Capital “Bullion Miners Focus” 16th Oct 13
by on Oct 22, 2013 •Here a couple of reports from the two widely respected, though very different, hedge funds. Greenlight Capital’s performance record, over the last decade or so, puts her in the upper quartile of the upper quartile. David Einhorn its ceo updates on views, performance and allocations. Greenlight-Q3-2013 Hinde Capital are the specialist bullion focused hedge fund....
CS-MarcoStrat 21st Oct13
by on Oct 21, 2013 •A nice roundup just released from the Swiss team. CS-MarcoStrat-21-10-13 Rich