Commodity Index Volatility – GSG Index 2008 – 2013
by on Oct 17, 2013 •Currently on a historic annual volatility of 14% vs the mean this is low. FX has been quiet of late but if the major FX pairs start to see volatility and the Dollar index falls through this key level commodity index volatility will exponentially increase. An asymmetric trade to play off the low historic (below...
Technical Trading Chart EURUSD – 17th Oct 13
by on Oct 17, 2013 •EurUsd defines the dollar basket and today some major moves occurred. The pair help to define many instruments across world markets so what happens here is important. The euro is threatening to end her multi year cyclical bear vs the usd. Fundamentally its hard to point to the rational for this price move but hopefully...
CommerzB – Wkly Technical Analysis of Major Asset Markets – 16th Oct 2013
by on Oct 17, 2013 •I haven’t seen participants so confused by the fx markets for many years. Everyone is saying something different and is having to reverse positions and stance every few weeks or so. Active fx traders are starting to be cut up by the chop. I want to say that historically when price chops up like this...
JPM-Equity Sector Tech & Picks 15th Oct 2013
by on Oct 17, 2013 •JP coming out bullish equity. Here their major picks and recommendations. JPMequitystrategy-15-10-13 Rich
SChartered – FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 15th Oct 2013
by on Oct 15, 2013 •The usual outstanding tech report from SC re the major FX pairs. SC-FXwklytech-15-10-13 Cheers Rich
SocietyG – FX Techical Analysis – 15th Oct 13
by on Oct 15, 2013 •SG-FX-Tech-15-10-13 Some nice trade ideas and tech charts from SG. Watch the usdjpy would be my suggestion. If we get resolution she has a decent upside but the reverse could also play out if the political leaders fumble this. Rich
CS – Commodity Technical Analysis & Fundamental Comments 15th Oct 2013
by on Oct 15, 2013 •CS-Commodities-15-10-13
Weekly Technical Analysis – “1646 New SP500 Support & Europe in Wave 5”
by on Oct 15, 2013 •A great report this week from the award winning Swiss team. This week’s report is a little broader than normal in the assets markets they have covered, which is good! Their comments on fx and bullion tie nicely together.The US$ is enjoying a bounce here and now. Technically it doesn’t look likely to sustain for...
Some Macro Thoughts – US$ Money Velocity, Inflation & Taxes Oct 13
by on Oct 14, 2013 • Some Macro Thoughts-oct13 I want to say one important thing in addition on this issue. There appears some confusion in the web stratosphere on one key metric around this subject. The positive correlation between money velocity and interest rates. Some observers have pointed to the historic correlation between the two as being supportive...
Thackray – Oct 2013 “Seasonal Market Timing By Sector”
by on Oct 14, 2013 •An interesting report tracking through the major sectors via their seasonal historic trading patterns. Recall the money velocity nos (ie how low they are at present), housing market performance potentially feeding into the housing ATM phenomena soon and the retail and consumer staples sectors, as one example. Its a thought provoking report. Thackray-Oct2013
JPM-US&Euro EquityStrat – 11th Oct 2013
by on Oct 12, 2013 •Here a great set of reports from JPM. First up their US equity strat inc analysis & next up their European recommendations and analysis. A couple of great reports. Hopefully regulars, with a large thank you to “AAwork” JP-US-Equity-11Oct13 JPM-EurEquityStrat-11-oct13 All the best Rich