BarCap,Commerz-Weekly Commodities & Credit & Bullion – “Paper Hard to Beat” 15th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •The weekly commentary from BarCap combining Fixed income and commodities. An interesting set of assets to combine here. Historic correlations and inverse correlations between the pair at different stages of the cycle. Worthy of comment and discussion in itself but another time and place. Commodities are under price pressure here. The monetary tail winds are...
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BarCap Equity Strat & Picks – 18th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A couple of very useful weekly BarCap equity strat reports containing their equity recommendations and forecasts. I hope to make these regulars Barcap-equity2-11-11-13 barcap-equity-18-11-13 And here their monthly equity markets report with some good macro and sector internal work. Barcap-macroequity-17-11-13 As i’m in a positional equity trade on the IBEX market here CS on the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “EM’s Relative Outperformance” 19th Nov13
by on Nov 20, 2013 •Here below the award winning Swiss team’s usual weekly technical analysis of the world’s major asset markets. We have breakouts in western markets and very promising developments in Japan and China. The Nikkie has scored a high momentum break out of her 6 month price distribution range and is threatening her May highs. The Chinese...
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MS & SC Weekly FX Reports – 15th & 19 Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here below the respective in house positions of MS and SC. MS making the US$ case correlating the strength to the deflationary backdrop. (Which is usually a dangerous cocktail for risk). Report here MS-WklyFX-15-11-13 Here SC retaining a ‘structurally bullish” position on the US and bullish the GBP vs US$ due to the positive “technicals...
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CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal...
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Global Macro Monthly & Weekly Economic Reviews & Forecasts – WF,CS,BarCap,Scan
by on Nov 18, 2013 •There is a lot of reading. Its for those with a bias to the fundamental data. The data remains soft or weak recovery, at best. And as WF perfectly asks, “Five Years, Three QEs and $3.5 Trillion Later, Where’s the Inflation?” And consider this. In previous nominal bull markets usually occur alongside some rise inflation...
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JP Weekly Equity Update – “S&P500 YE Target 1825”
by on Nov 17, 2013 •I hope all had a good weekend. I apologize but we had a big electrical lightening storm here which wiped out the power for around 12 hours earlier today hence the delay in posting these new reports. Here below the weekly equity report from JPM. Its an excellent report. The sectoral analysis is on the...
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MS Wealth – Macro Mkts Nov & CS “Core Strat 12th Nov13
by on Nov 15, 2013 •Here a couple of “best practice” macro multi market reports containing a mix of fundamental and tech. Pulling all the various themes together. First, the MS Wealth report. A walk through of the major issues and they include an interview with Jim Rogers, who is always worth listening to from a longer term macro. Here...
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CS – Global Equity Strat & Asian Equity Review & Recommendations 14th Nov13
by on Nov 15, 2013 •A couple of outstanding equity focused reports from the research teams at CS. Some excellent and useful work here. The Asian report is outstanding and repeats the out performance of insurance we have seen in the dm markets recently. Ill leave the detail to the reports. CS sees the risks of a near term pull...
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CS Global Macro Charts, FX Strat & Tech 14th Nov13
by on Nov 14, 2013 •Here a run through from CS of the global asset markets. Here last weeks global macro chart pack from them which is a useful quick ref report i find: CS-MacroChartswkly-07-11-13 Here this week’s latest report on the same format: CS-MacroChartswkly-13-11-13 And here the usual CS weekly FX tech report, below. A good global view this...
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Commodity Update – CS,Commerz,Nomura,etc.. 14th Nov13
by on Nov 14, 2013 •Here a group of reports on the commodity asset class. They have badly under performed as an asset class from mid 2011. UBS have turned bullish due to a renewal in weakness for the US$ (they believe) and the out performance of the cyclical themes. The dollar basket monetary issue is key, i believe, until...
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Weekly Technical Analysis 12th Nov13 – “SP500 1775/1780 Possible Extension to 1850”
by on Nov 12, 2013 •Here below the multi award winning Swiss team’s report. Despite the “Lowest Bearishness in the US Since 1987″ the Swiss team have issued a fairly bullish report proposing a final leg up to close the year end books. Its certainly a possibility as price isn’t showing any obvious weakness here. Their medium term view hasn’t...