Monthly archive March, 2014
by
prestonni
on
Mar 31, 2014 •
Many reports here, playing catchup: CS-USmacro-22-3-14 And here CS with their European views: CS-euromacro-22-3-14 And here CS on the UK macro backdrop: CS-UK-20-3-14 And here Cs on the EM macro issues: Cs-EM-qtly-Q2 And here CS with their macro views.. CS-macro-29-3-14 And here CS macro quarterly update: CS-Macro-qtly2 And here CS with their macro equity and...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 30, 2014 •
The FX markets have been choppy and directionless in recent months and volumes (and profits) have been falling. Like equities we need some clear trends to emerge between the major fx pairs. With great divergence between the dm nation’s economic progress (and inflation) it seems we are getting close to some new trends and it...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 29, 2014 •
I have a heap of 25 reports to load up this weekend so i will be posting those with some capsyn comments. Briefly though this just hit my electronic desk so i wanted to bring you the latest Fitzpatrick comments here below. The comments are quite technical in nature but extremely insightful. Happy to pick...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 26, 2014 •
Here below are the two latest reports from Fitzpatrick and his team at Citi. He argues the strong dollar case along FI and divergent interest rate lines. Its a strong case and one which, interestingly, he doesn’t see negatively impacting gold. Here is his latest weekly report: citi-tech-20-3-14 And here Citi’s latest interim update with...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 26, 2014 •
Here below please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical analysis report on the major international asset markets. They pick up many of the same issues as we have already on the forum pages and prior posts inc the Biotech sector issues and also the SOX deeply overbought etc, etc. They remain medium term bullishly...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 24, 2014 •
Sunday night so time to be ready for the week ahead. Last week saw the bulls attempted to reassert themselves on what was, prior week, a bearish price candle across many equity indexes with a reasonable score of intra week volatility. By the close of business on Friday the Nasdaq had scored a decent perfect...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 18, 2014 •
The US equity markets are in line of sight of a full reversal of last week’s bear candle in only two trading sessions. Its certainly very impressive price action for the bulls. A reversal of price like this on the weekly would be bullish and invite those short to cover and reverse potentially. From failed...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 17, 2014 •
We are almost exactly 5 years into one of the longest cyclical bull markets of the last century. And within this cyclical bull market we are at a point of significant technical “stretch” on a many different metrics including not having testing the 200 day moving average since 2012 or not having experienced a 10%...
by
prestonni
on
Mar 15, 2014 •
Here the US Equity JP team. JP-USequity-10-3-14 Here the JP Asia team JP-asia-equity-11-3-14 And here the commercial positions in various asset markets. cftc-10-3-14 And here Commerz with their weekly macro strat & comment: commerse-wklystrat-14-3-14 Much more to come tomorrow. Have a great weekend what ever you are up to. Rich
by
prestonni
on
Mar 11, 2014 •
Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s comments and analysis. An excellent timely report as usual. We are at a critical junction across markets at present usual but a bit more concise as we are in difficult zone here across many instruments. The Geopolitical situation is also playing into the mix....
by
prestonni
on
Mar 10, 2014 •
AG-techwkly-7-3-14 A very nice and useful technical chart update of the major indexes and sectors.
by
prestonni
on
Mar 9, 2014 •
In spite of the recent euro strength few are betting with her for now. The consensus view is that the 1.39 area will likely hold vs the US$. JP below are allowing for an outside move to 1.42 as the maximum level the euro could achieve and they have raised their 2014 average eurusd value...