Monthly archive April, 2014
by
prestonni
on
Apr 30, 2014 •
Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical analysis. They pick up on many of the same inter market comments as we have on the forum pages. China remains a key concern and has not bounced in the way they had hoped for. The Aud is highly correlated to the Shanghai. There remains continued...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 28, 2014 •
Sunday evening so time to refresh on where we are for the week ahead across the major asset markets. As a general comment we keep getting these sell off Friday’s that makes for bad timing between the release of the Citi report and the AG report. Take away Friday’s bar from the AG charts and...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 23, 2014 •
The Swiss team’s latest report was delayed by the long holiday weekend but it just been released. No wash out but a low is in place, according to the team’s analysis. They acknowledge near term the spx is over bought but fully expect a move higher to 2000 soon. They maintain their wave five expectation...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 22, 2014 •
Its been a long weekend of macro research for me looking to see if the data and macro trends can help illuminate the next macro trade for my book. Practice comment wise, sometimes this sort of work provides wonderful insightful macro direction and sometimes it doesn’t.On this occasion, so far, I’m struggling to draw clear...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 20, 2014 •
Its Easter Sunday and hope all are having a good long weekend break here. Below are a selection of purely macro economic and equity valuation reports along with considered comment from your truly. Overall its much of the same old same old. An slow improving economic picture in terms of raw economic numbers but no...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 15, 2014 •
Its that time of the week for the Swiss team’s usual run through of the major international asset markets. They expect further weakness for the major dm asset markets inc the sp500 (possible 1774) and Nik225 (13200). We have momentum to the downside here though some sectors like the Bio techs are deeply oversold. Ill...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 15, 2014 •
This post will be updated through the morning so please keep checking for updates guys. Volatility has certainly increased in the last month or so and many instrument continue to look for trend direction here. Seasonally we are fast approaching the end of the inflow tail winds to equities which usually becomes a headwind once...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 14, 2014 •
Here the latest GS price technical chart report across the major asset markets. Note their highest conviction current trade sets up are the audusd for aud weakness and the next highest conviction is the usdjpy for more jpy weakness down to the 99 level and this goes down to the 94 level hence the call...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 11, 2014 •
I have a stack as high as me of reports I’d like to run through but I’m afraid the weekend will have to be the time to run through all the positional changes, top down perspectives as well as technical strategy and near term tactics. The markets are moving and price trends are finally providing...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 9, 2014 •
The Swiss team provide their regular insightful comments here below. They are looking for an end of April, worst case move for the S&P500 to the 1800 area of the chart. They reiterate that, so long as the 1737 area holds, they remain bullish into summer for a 1920 to 1970 target. They remain bullish...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 7, 2014 •
Its Sunday so time for another update from the usual professional market commentators. Friday saw some fast price action and mirrors what we have seen consecutively for the last 4 or so Friday’s. Market participants continue to appear very reluctant to hold positions over the weekend and this is usually a sign of a very...
by
prestonni
on
Apr 4, 2014 •
For the first time in quite some time we got yet more dovish words from the ECB and hawkish, no action again. Yet, this time, rather than the euro rallying the lack of action did not price support the euro. This is interesting and possibly meaningful price action. “QE was discussed” was about as dovish...