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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Pre Xmas Rally Pullback” 24th Nov15 V2
by on Nov 25, 2015 •Some interesting price feedback from FX here aside the equity rally has continued. Although the US$ is continuing to make good strength vs sterling and the euro she has scored failure patterns vs several currencies inc the AUD and SGD, CAD and others. This could be a meaningful indicator that the US$’s strength could take...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Buy Weakness” 18th Nov15
by on Nov 19, 2015 •We have yet more soothing sounds from Central banks and asset markets appear to be preparing for the usual Christmas rally. In spite of the remaining technical issues cash is a dangerous asset in this world of understated inflation and persistently attentive central banks. It was right to go long on the lows of a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Yields Breaking Out” 11th Nov15
by on Nov 12, 2015 •Some good reports this week with much discussion on the macro significance of the data and instrument movements. Breakouts by rates and US$ index, breakdown defensive utilities. Fitzpatrick commenting that the inflation benign tailwinds from lower oil prices is likely behind us setting up for a cyclical rally attempt vs defensive issues. As always monetary...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Still Overbought & Vulnerable” 04th Nov15 v2
by on Nov 5, 2015 •I’m traveling again so apologies for the delaying in issuing. This has been a nose bleeding retrace for dm equity markets. S&P close to making her prior highs. Nas100 new highs. From an allocation perspective, whatever the allocation be whether currencies, pms, bonds or commodities confusion reigns here. Usually confusion preempts a trend change, in...