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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16
by on Apr 27, 2016 •We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...
Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16
by on Apr 24, 2016 •Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.” G.Soros. With these words in mind lets look at the price history here as most certainly market...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3
by on Apr 20, 2016 •Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...
A Brave New World in Synthesis..
by on Apr 15, 2016 •Anyone that does any macro thinking at present surely arrives at some very strange states of new realities. One small example. Central banks, given unlimited powers, will be the ultimate buyer of all assets. Given Nirp (negative interest rate policy) and a constant high bid on the order books by the buyer of last resort...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Markets Vulnerable” 5th April16
by on Apr 6, 2016 •Another week rolls by. Asset classes, sp500 and nas100 aside, are confirming the bearish macro landscape for risk assets and continuation of the cyclical bear. Without a new price breakout by key US sectors and indexes the issue remains a timing one for when the bear across all risk assets will resume. Indeed if the...