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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Peak, US$ Strengthening” 19th Feb19
by on Feb 19, 2019 •Evening gents and apologies for missing last week’s report point. All assets markets have a positive tail wind here with dovish comments from the several of the major central banks and what appears to be the last gasps of a renewal of the “bad news is good” theme of the last decade. Lead indicators like...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Extending Corrective Bounce” 06th Feb 2019
by on Feb 6, 2019 •I will update with this week tech report more fully as of Friday but for now a brief summary of where we are as i see it. First up – The lead US equity risk mkts – The Sp500 target of 2718 has clearly come into play as this corrective bounce plays out. Momentum is...
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Annual Technical Analysis Forecast Update – “Reflation Cycle End” 26th Jan19
by on Jan 25, 2019 •Guys, I’ll update this in real time through out the weekend but here for starters is the summary of the usual annual technical forecast update, albeit in a new mifi2 compliant ie proprietary format. A small change that I make our Capitalsynthesis a closed group and enrollment is by invitation only or by reference of...
Fortnightly Technical Analysis – “World Equity Divergences At Extremes” 18th Aug18
by on Aug 18, 2018 •We are still in the Summer recess here across world markets but its noteworthy to record the observation that divergence between world equity markets and US equity markets is at an all time extreme standard deviation. This is a trade set up but seldom has the likely technical directional forecast been so clouded as now,...
Fortnightly Technical Analysis – “2700 to 2750 SP500” 18th April 2018
by on Apr 18, 2018 •Risk is bouncing strongly here and particularly so US tech and the mid cap Russel2000. The larger caps (tech aside) are under performing and world indexes are still under performing US indexes over the recent period of weakness. The selectivity is increasing here which is usually a clear indication of weakness inside a rally with...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 & FI Tactical Bounce, Europe Global -Beta” 2nd April18 V2
by on Apr 2, 2018 •Happy Easter guys, 2018 has indeed played out according to the expectation of higher volatility against a back drop of a trend change price distribution and ending of this 8 year bull market for US risk. As we look across US cyclical risk from the sp500 to the Russel2000 to the nas100 its all still...
Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Tactical Bounce – 16th March18 V2
by on Mar 16, 2018 •Good afternoon guys, We have had a pretty reasonable tactical bounce here which is likely to extend as the 13th march higher high of this move was scored with confirming price momentum and 20 day decent breadth. There is enough evidence to suggest the US equity risk bounce is not over yet therefore albeit within...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Positive into Deeper March” 5th March 2018 V2
by on Mar 5, 2018 •We have a continuation of volatility across risk here albeit providing a fairly constructive long set up for US risk and even most international risk cyclical markets. To try and summarize the recent price moves using the sp500 as lead here: The US Sp500 scored a new price high in January on excellent breadth, albeit...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Corrective Rebound, US$ Basing” 22nd Feb18
by on Feb 22, 2018 •Hi Guys, We have, as expected, the bounce in risk assets off the 200dma lows across the major US equity indexes. As we look across US equities we see the bounce in the cyclical themes stronger than non cyclical. Eg the QQQs and finance, soxx, etc have scored higher retracement levels than the wider Sp500....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Feb SP500 Pull Back” – 4th Feb18
by on Feb 5, 2018 •Another week rolls by and we finally have some market volatility and a negative week of price action. Its broad based across all risk markets, globally. For technicians it was an interesting (tactical) price top set up with a narrow upward channel for most US$ risk through out Jan18. Breadth has been excellent and across...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 OUTLOOK 22nd Jan18
by on Jan 22, 2018 •A happy Monday to all and I do hope you are enjoying this bullish extension of this wave five impressive bull market in risk assets. Its been a water shed week with the final breakdown of the 38 year secular bull market for world interest rates. (Where US rates go world rates follow pretty quickly)....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 Outlooks – 11th Jan18
by on Jan 11, 2018 •Hi Guys, I trust all are well rested and back to the markets with renewed energy and focus. Hopefully all are enjoying the continuation of this setup in risk which started with new momentum early dec. Its been a blistering start to the new year with all risk adding weight, the dollar debasing. The rally...