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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Watch the US$” 24th August 2016
by on Aug 24, 2016 •Markets have maintained a holiday like atmosphere with narrow trading ranges for several weeks now as volatility reduces across all asset classes. This, as the Swiss team suggest, is likely to change as the days roll by into the end of August. The latest report is a very carefully worded report with some key levels...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Near Term Tactically Overbought – 16th Aug16
by on Aug 16, 2016 •The guys are back from their holidays but with a shortened report here. They pick up on the renewal of the commodity bull story which is the headline story in asset markets for me. Note GL, Anto, BHP (all of which i hold again). Commodity producer charts have surged over the last few months. Aside...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Crude Close to Key Supports” 5th Aug16
by on Aug 5, 2016 •We have drifted in to August and so holiday season is upon us. The swiss team have broken for holidays until later in the month but the usual suspects from GS and Citi are still at work. Across risk there is not a lot of new price evidence here other than new highs in bullion,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk’s Breakout Confirmed but Tactically Toppish” 27th July16
by on Jul 27, 2016 •The Swiss team latest report has concluded that wave 5 is underway though near term we are tactically toppish which is likely to get resolved in August to allow for the rally to resume into Sept. Some strategic issues remain with this bull market for now and need to get resolved. Surely their resolution tells...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Make or Break Across Risk” 20th July16
by on Jul 20, 2016 •Another week has gone by but right across international risk there is very little new evidence from price here. We can look across US sectors like the small caps or russel2000 or transports or banking or tech sector or high yield or whatever you chose and there is no meaningful new evidence from price. Internationally...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Breakout or Fake” 13th July16
by on Jul 13, 2016 •Another good week for risk assets across the world but lead again by the strong US equity indexes of the sp500 and Dow Jones. The sp500 has made new record highs but lead by utilities, consumer discretionary and housing indexes. The cyclical sectors of soxx and nasdaq100, Russel 2000 have not yet confirmed the move...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Europe On The Edge” 6th July16
by on Jul 7, 2016 •Another week roles by and pricing of risk assets continues to diverge between US risk and world risk. US risk continues to be well bid vs the rest of the world. With the sp500 still close to record highs. Within the US markets breadth remains a key issue with some important cyclical sectors showing bad...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2
by on Jun 29, 2016 •What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50% retracement level but has scored significant technical damage to lead indexes like the US banks, Transports. Across...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Break Setup in SPX, Gold, USD, and Bonds” – 22nd June16
by on Jun 22, 2016 •Its make or break time indeed. Im in a rush unfortunately so this post will be updated later today and tomorrow. Technically some levels to the upside which need to be broken to confirm this, Dax 10300, EXX1 euro banks needs to get above 11, Oil did correct but is now back over 50 and...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Divergent Trends ROW vs US – 13th June16
by on Jun 13, 2016 •The reports this week i’m releasing today and later in the week a V2 as the Swiss team remain on holiday for one more week. Their first report back is the 21st of June ie next Tuesday. I wonder what they would make of world markets here.We can see that all the major technical contributors...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Asset Markets Looking For A Trend – 1st June16
by on Jun 1, 2016 •Another week rolls by and the recent bull rally takes a breath. This next wave is crucial and should determine whether we are still in a wave 4 or have already started a wave 5 of this asset bull market. This week the Swiss team are on holiday and taking a well deserved break but...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Complex Wave 4 Cyclical Bear or Wave 5” 25th May 2016 V2
by on May 25, 2016 •We have a high momentum daily bar here across some key sectors and indexes. In many cases the end April highs are close at hand. We need to keep a careful watch on these levels here as well as the usual breadth indicators to see which of the two scenarios above we have here. I...