Commodity Index Volatility – GSG Index 2008 – 2013
by on Oct 17, 2013 •Currently on a historic annual volatility of 14% vs the mean this is low. FX has been quiet of late but if the major FX pairs start to see volatility and the Dollar index falls through this key level commodity index volatility will exponentially increase. An asymmetric trade to play off the low historic (below...
CommerzB – Wkly Technical Analysis of Major Asset Markets – 16th Oct 2013
by on Oct 17, 2013 •I haven’t seen participants so confused by the fx markets for many years. Everyone is saying something different and is having to reverse positions and stance every few weeks or so. Active fx traders are starting to be cut up by the chop. I want to say that historically when price chops up like this...
CS – Commodity Technical Analysis & Fundamental Comments 15th Oct 2013
by on Oct 15, 2013 •CS-Commodities-15-10-13
Weekly Technical Analysis – “1646 New SP500 Support & Europe in Wave 5”
by on Oct 15, 2013 •A great report this week from the award winning Swiss team. This week’s report is a little broader than normal in the assets markets they have covered, which is good! Their comments on fx and bullion tie nicely together.The US$ is enjoying a bounce here and now. Technically it doesn’t look likely to sustain for...
Commodities / Economics / Entries/Exists / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / Technical trading
SBank-Quarterly Commodities Q4 2013
by on Oct 12, 2013 •SBank have a reputation to keep in the commodities space. Their latest quarterly is pretty bearish. The secular commodities bull is being called into question here with the 2011 highs mostly lower than their 2007 highs and the cyclical continuation running deeper and longer than most commodity participants anticipated. There is nothing on the horizon...
CS-Wkly-WealthMan 10th Oct 2013
by on Oct 12, 2013 •Here the usual excellent observations from the wealth man team of CS in Zurich. CS-Wkly-WealthMan-11-10-13 Rich
Weekly Technical Analysis – “A Break of 1061 Russell & 1670 SP500 Bearish & implies A More Important Market Top is in Place”.
by on Oct 9, 2013 •The Swiss team’s technical report was released just as the price action was passing their key levels kicking off hedging actions for protection of longs. SOX, CYC consumer discretionary, OSX, Nasdaq Composite and the Russell-2000 have all broken last week’s pivotal reaction low. Of note the Russell really fell out of bed today as did...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Weekly Macro,Commodity & Econ Focus inc Japan & UK (CS, Epstein, WF, JP, etc)
by on Oct 6, 2013 •As a general comment, the main US equity market indexes appear to be in a giant distribution since May. Higher highs have been achieved but at the cost of weaker and weaker technicals. Its not a hugely positive market in spite of higher prices being achieved. Europe has more momentum and price support for the...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 To Make Minor Low This Week”
by on Oct 1, 2013 •The Swiss team are sticking to their view that this is all part of the price distribution that marks out a top building period for the US indexes. The recent break of 1709 on the sp500 as well as the euro index strength were game changes for them and hence they have extended their call...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&500 Near Term Toppish”
by on Sep 25, 2013 •Here below the Swiss team’s latest Technical report. Apologies, I’m traveling once again putting the final touches to various new investments. Analysis to follow as an update, many reports on the vip members area. Here the usual weekly tech report: WklyTech-24-09-13 The best to all Rich
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Toppish & Europe Trading in Wave 5”
by on Sep 18, 2013 •The Swiss team’s report listed below. World markets are continuing to show remarkable resilience in spite of all the indicators pointing to likely price weakness and even a correction. The team have pushed out their deeper correction timeline to Q1 2014 now given the likely higher high by the s&p500. Near term, they are now...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Use Strength Into First Half Sept To Sell”
by on Sep 11, 2013 •Here below the Swiss team’s excellent technical round up of the major markets across the world. I’m personally traveling and researching a specific property investment project so its hard for me to comment more meaningfully other than the long portfolio is running and this persistently warm tail wind to wealth is a wonderful thing and...