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Weekly FX & Bullion Technical Analysis & Macro Comments – “US$ Strength & Rates Rise”
by on Sep 5, 2013 •September is usually associated with providing direction in the markets after the long summer months of chop and churn which is designed to confuse participants on where next. The macro theme since May of this year has been rising rates globally albeit from super low historic levels. Rates have risen quickly with today seeing the...
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Weekly FX Technical Analysis & Macro Comments.. “US$ Bouncing Off Key Levels”
by on Sep 2, 2013 •We have labor day holidays across US markets today which marks the official ending of the usual summer malaise in market volume. Sept is seasonally a volatile month and more often than not to the downside. Having said that August was a bad month for bond prices as rates marched higher across sovereign and consumer...
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Weekly FX Technical Analysis, Macro Comments & Bullion Technicals
by on Aug 23, 2013 •There is one story dominating everything at present namely: To taper or not to taper? I’m very tempted to think this is a premature question as the FED is currently monetizing 85bn of securities a month and simply a taper of 25bn or less aimed at the short end of the yield curve could be...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Top in Place, Over sold on the Near Term”
by on Aug 20, 2013 •Its that time of week again for a barrage of technical market reports and comments. First up here the weekly market comments from SC: SC-WklyMkt-View-16-August-2013 Over weight US equities and European equities and US$ high yield.They repeat their rational which is leaves the door open for a continuation of near term technical weakness. “Recent earnings...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Still Holding 1685”
by on Aug 14, 2013 • The swiss team’s latest report is below. There is some caution in their latest report. They have opened the door to adjusting their model dependent on potentially “game changing moves” in the metals to Europe. To my mind this is all part of the summer heat. Summer trading days are there to confuse the...
Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P Toppish”
by on Jul 30, 2013 •The latest Swiss team’s report is attached below. Low volume continuation moves are always possible in the thin August months. Be very selective on targets until technical confirmation of the bear move is printed. She isn’t there quite yet from a US index perspective but we are getting closer. A mix of holidays and...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Moving to an Important Medium-Term Top, Cycles Imply a Top This Week”
by on Jul 23, 2013 •The Swiss team’s latest report below. They retain their bearish call on equities and significantly call for a top in cyclical stocks and a re-rotation back into the defensive issues. Their words, also mine on the forum pages: “Make or Break Setup in US Cyclical Performance” This issue cuts to the core of the sustainability...
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Week Ahead Tech Comments – “Bullish Bullion, Bearish GBP”
by on Jul 15, 2013 •A new trading week awaits us with some key equity index levels as well as fx levels fast approaching. First up a very useful report from citi. They are bullish for this week on the bullion, WTI, and bearish the GBP. On WTI if price breaks the 110 level 145 will come into play. This...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Short Term, Sell into Strength, Medium Term, Weekly S&P Sell Signal Triggered”.
by on Jul 9, 2013 •As expected, we have seen a decent bounce from the report two weeks ago but no key levels have been broken here. The bounce has been swift but narrow with a new higher high in very few sectors though inc US finance, ( US Oil & Gas is very close) and in Europe only travel...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Comments – “Set Up For The Deflationary Trade”
by on Jun 25, 2013 •The latest report from the Swiss team is about as bearish a report as I have read for some time. The final top call for the last remaining bull equity market is in place, according to the team ie the SP500 top is in place. The Asian markets are in melt down. European markets topped...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Too late to buy but also too early to sell, on a broader base”.
by on Jun 19, 2013 •Its been a couple of weeks since posting here due to holidays. Therefore its a double bill set of reports from the Swiss team as follows. First up for the Swiss team we must say congratulations as they have again won this year’s Extel survey as best European technical report. Congratulations to the guys. Compared...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Corrective Trading Low This Week – Rally To Restest Highs “
by on Jun 5, 2013 •Here without more delay the Swiss team’s latest outstanding tech report. I’m under time pressure here so a review of this briefing tomorrow afternoon. I can say briefly that their report re-confirms my own independent tech analysis here and now. The HGX & lumber tops are important and part of the evidence that this ‘recovery’...