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Weekly Technical Analysis V2 – “Divergences in Out performers, Watch Transports” 26th Oct17
by on Oct 26, 2017 •Another week rolls by with sp500 price at almost the identical level she closed at the week before. Volatility has risen a little however with a reversal price bar but no follow through as yet. Lead cyclicals like transports, soxx, tech and finance either not achieving much change or slightly down. World indexes are also...
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Weekly Technical Analysis V2 – “Sp500 Losing Momentum & Vulnerable” 19th Oct17
by on Oct 19, 2017 •The drift on up has continued across global equity markets with a consecutive 13 day straight run of higher highs for the Nikkei. The first time this has occurred for nearly 20 years since 1998. Whoever thinks you cant make nominal prices rise via monetary means was clearly on the wrong side of that trade....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Mkt Overbought, Bullish Reversal Gold” 12th Oct17
by on Oct 12, 2017 •Its been a good week for the reflation trade with Tips achieving a good bounce and the metals once again achieving a high momentum scores. Copper leading the charge of the metals and platinum lagging. The recent Dollar weakness supportive of course. US equities have seen a sustained bid with many cyclical sectors/indexes overbought on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17
by on Oct 5, 2017 •With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactical Top SP500” 26th Sept17
by on Sep 26, 2017 •Another weeks rolls by and we certainly have got the movement in FX and commodity markets that we anticipated. The only piece of the jigsaw that is still holding back from competing the anticipated price path are US equities with their continued surprising price resilience in spite of the ever weakening technical picture. Unfortunately i’ll...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave Down” 14th Sept17
by on Sep 14, 2017 •We are still waiting here for clear signals from these markets. US markets have drifted higher but without momentum once again. Nasdaq, Soxx, Transports, Finance sectors all appear fading once again at these levels. Breadth is not strong here but a low momentum continuation remains the risk. The expected US$ bounce and oversold levels on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave C Below 2491” 7th Sept17
by on Sep 7, 2017 •Another week and we have seen renewed strength in the US mega caps and oversold sectors/indexes without any particular new breakouts. Nasdaq marginal new price high by a whisker in a volatile index and no matter whether you examine this new price high via stocks above 20dma or 50dma its all very weak stuff once...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Sept Bearish, Bullion Buy the Dips – 31st Aug17
by on Aug 31, 2017 •Its back to the office time guys so a longer update. I hope you enjoyed a relaxing summer break as here we march into September. August is behind us and we enter the most bearishly biased month for equities in the year. Sept 15 and 16 were bearish months, of course the Bear Sterns, Lehman...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Copper Breakout Continues” 25th Aug17
by on Aug 25, 2017 •Summer time continues in the price action in major developed market equity markets. We have a fair amount of chop here alongside low volume as participants hold back from committing in either direction. As we know the run up to this period has been off the back of weak breadth and momentum and so the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Sept Correction/$ Basing” 10th Aug17
by on Aug 10, 2017 •Ok, another August week rolls by and, as so often seems to occur in August, we have a continuation of these choppy non directionally bias asset markets. We are by nature looking for direction across markets so we can expect a jump in volatility heading into September. This August looks very similar to August 2016...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Aug Top, Europe Corrective Bounce” 27th July17
by on Jul 27, 2017 •The weakness in the US$ has continued to support lead US equity indexes and commodities alike. This week I’m instead going to focus my words on the weaker non usd indexes especially given the likeliness of a bounce here in the US$. So the key price weakness in recent weeks has been European Indexes and...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Last Leg Up into Aug – 21st July17
by on Jul 21, 2017 •Well no great surprises for readers here as the US$ has indeed debased and so the party can continue another leg with all the implications this entails re capital flows into em markets, commodities, bullion etc. Breadth across the US indexes remains weak but as a continuation within this leg of this bull market is...