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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Crude Close to Key Supports” 5th Aug16
by on Aug 5, 2016 •We have drifted in to August and so holiday season is upon us. The swiss team have broken for holidays until later in the month but the usual suspects from GS and Citi are still at work. Across risk there is not a lot of new price evidence here other than new highs in bullion,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk’s Breakout Confirmed but Tactically Toppish” 27th July16
by on Jul 27, 2016 •The Swiss team latest report has concluded that wave 5 is underway though near term we are tactically toppish which is likely to get resolved in August to allow for the rally to resume into Sept. Some strategic issues remain with this bull market for now and need to get resolved. Surely their resolution tells...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Make or Break Across Risk” 20th July16
by on Jul 20, 2016 •Another week has gone by but right across international risk there is very little new evidence from price here. We can look across US sectors like the small caps or russel2000 or transports or banking or tech sector or high yield or whatever you chose and there is no meaningful new evidence from price. Internationally...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Breakout or Fake” 13th July16
by on Jul 13, 2016 •Another good week for risk assets across the world but lead again by the strong US equity indexes of the sp500 and Dow Jones. The sp500 has made new record highs but lead by utilities, consumer discretionary and housing indexes. The cyclical sectors of soxx and nasdaq100, Russel 2000 have not yet confirmed the move...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Europe On The Edge” 6th July16
by on Jul 7, 2016 •Another week roles by and pricing of risk assets continues to diverge between US risk and world risk. US risk continues to be well bid vs the rest of the world. With the sp500 still close to record highs. Within the US markets breadth remains a key issue with some important cyclical sectors showing bad...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2
by on Jun 29, 2016 •What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50% retracement level but has scored significant technical damage to lead indexes like the US banks, Transports. Across...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Break Setup in SPX, Gold, USD, and Bonds” – 22nd June16
by on Jun 22, 2016 •Its make or break time indeed. Im in a rush unfortunately so this post will be updated later today and tomorrow. Technically some levels to the upside which need to be broken to confirm this, Dax 10300, EXX1 euro banks needs to get above 11, Oil did correct but is now back over 50 and...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Asset Markets Looking For A Trend – 1st June16
by on Jun 1, 2016 •Another week rolls by and the recent bull rally takes a breath. This next wave is crucial and should determine whether we are still in a wave 4 or have already started a wave 5 of this asset bull market. This week the Swiss team are on holiday and taking a well deserved break but...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016
by on May 18, 2016 •The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the corrective bounce). Across asset classes we looking for direction here and volatility looks set to rise significantly from here in the coming weeks....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Low Confirmed” – 11th May16
by on May 12, 2016 •Price moves are getting choppy here. We getting caught up between levels and instruments are losing their medium term correlations on the short term time frames. This is all indicative of a market losing direction. Its noteworthy that GS got stopped out of two of their recommended trades last week and have reentered again this...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2033/2022 As Initial Target” 4th May16
by on May 4, 2016 •Markets have moved lower and volatility has stepped up across fx and rest of world equities but alas not the US indexes as yet. US longs are not panicking as yet and so another micro bounce attempt at the recent resistance does appear likely again for US indexes. Currencies wise the US$ spiking down on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16
by on Apr 27, 2016 •We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...