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Weekly Technical Analysis Alert – “Tactical Buy But Bear Mkt Confirmed” 19th Jan16
by on Jan 19, 2016 •The Swiss team have issued a Technical Alert as markets have moved so quickly in the last 2 weeks. With standing a bounce to 2100 Sp500, they have confirmed a bear market and therefore the probability moves to no new higher highs for the sp500 on this secular bull market. (Effectively this mirror’s JP’s call...
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Interim Technical Analysis Update – “At Key Supports Across Markets” 17th Jan 2016
by on Jan 18, 2016 •The negative sentiment high momentum failure of Xmas rally has continued so that we are now at some key levels across many asset markets inc currencies and commodities and equities. Momentum is sufficiently strong and leverage has been sufficiently high that stop hunting can certainly occur here but we are over extended and sentiment is...
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The 2016 Technical Analysis Outlook – “7Yr Equity Cycle Rolling Over, Buy Gold” Jan16 V2
by on Jan 6, 2016 •Welcome to the first post for the 2016 year and I can’t remember starting a year to so much volatility and uncertainty. There is so much to comment on inside the following outlook but this to come. Without delay I want to bring you the technical “Swiss teams” outlook for 2016 and beyond which is...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Equities Trading Low in Place” 16th Dec15
by on Dec 17, 2015 •The Fed’s raise in interest rates well flagged and coming in at the full 25 basis points level. Supportive for the US$ and therefore the Euro equity rally into the year end, at least. Levels wise the Eurostoxx 50 level of 32 played out perfectly to the script thus far. The GBPUSD also played out...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Pre Xmas Rally Pullback” 24th Nov15 V2
by on Nov 25, 2015 •Some interesting price feedback from FX here aside the equity rally has continued. Although the US$ is continuing to make good strength vs sterling and the euro she has scored failure patterns vs several currencies inc the AUD and SGD, CAD and others. This could be a meaningful indicator that the US$’s strength could take...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Buy Weakness” 18th Nov15
by on Nov 19, 2015 •We have yet more soothing sounds from Central banks and asset markets appear to be preparing for the usual Christmas rally. In spite of the remaining technical issues cash is a dangerous asset in this world of understated inflation and persistently attentive central banks. It was right to go long on the lows of a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Yields Breaking Out” 11th Nov15
by on Nov 12, 2015 •Some good reports this week with much discussion on the macro significance of the data and instrument movements. Breakouts by rates and US$ index, breakdown defensive utilities. Fitzpatrick commenting that the inflation benign tailwinds from lower oil prices is likely behind us setting up for a cyclical rally attempt vs defensive issues. As always monetary...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Still Overbought” 27th Oct15
by on Oct 28, 2015 •The ECB and then the BOC certainly helped equity markets over come some key resistances. The Euro was dumped propelling European equities into breakouts of their recent down trends. Participants were forced to short cover and any late to the bear camp have been “rolled over”. Its worth noting that overall putcall ratios are nearly...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Short Term Toppish” 20th Oct15
by on Oct 21, 2015 •Guys, i wont go through what i’m up to but suffice to say I’m struggling to comment here due to life time pressures. In stead ill post the remaining reports and full comments later this week. For now here the major reports. Here the Swiss team as usual. Wklytech-20-10-15 And here GS with the same...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SPX 1900 Support 2020 Key Resistance – 7th Oct15
by on Oct 7, 2015 •We have a very divided set of views this week from the various technical teams. Searching for consensus among the teams is that this recent bullish reversal will likely run out of steam very soon so certainly chasing or evening covering shorts at this precise point in the market appears a dumb thing to me....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “October Falls” 30th Sept15 v2
by on Sep 30, 2015 •The Swiss team are traveling so no comment from the guys and not much need for a comment and no levels and price action particularly demands comment for now. Near term it looks like a bounce is in progress off some key supports for several equity markets lead by asia over night. This is the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Strength – Sell/Take Profit” 15th Sept15 V3
by on Sep 16, 2015 •Guys, Big news day tomorrow that, in my opinion, defines if the bear rejoins in the next few days or he is put off for a few weeks to come. Its a timing and levels issue this not a trend issue, if you follow. More comments tomorrow but I like the short Nikkie long jpy...