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Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top Confirmed” – 28th Jan20
by on Jan 28, 2020 •Guys, i post below a quick tactical update here given the step change in volatility from the recent market movements. US Risk SP500 and Technology have both over shot and reached record overbought territory on their weekly and daily time frames. With sentiment at contrarian levels and the SP500 reaching 3350, risk markets have moved...
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Technical Analysis – SP500 Rotating Higher, Asia EM Breaking Out 5th Nov19
by on Nov 5, 2019 •Its been a while since i updated here. The wave C in risk off that was forecast by the Swiss team just didn’t materialize. The technical setup was clear with multiple death crosses and the exploding challenges in the repo market along side many key markets weakening considerably or slipping into a technical recession inc...
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Technical Analysis – Confirmed, Risk Assets in Wave 3 Breakdown -12th August19
by on Aug 12, 2019 •I hope all are enjoying their summer breaks here. Certainly listed securities of all shapes and sizes are moving here and we see major new trends taking hold and old trends gradually breaking down. For those that have positioned correctly (and incorrectly alike) this is a wealth transformative period. Volatility and directional speed is likely...
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Technical Analysis Update – “All Eyes On Rates” 17th June19
by on Jun 17, 2019 •Its been a month since the last update but really major equity prices are barely any different. What has changed are rates at the ten year, the yield curve inversion and the price of precious metals which are at close to 5 yr highs. Lets skip to the guy’s views. Summary, the May price bottom...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Weak US Breadth, Asia EM Breakdown – 2nd May19
by on May 2, 2019 •Guys apologies for the delay in posting, Here the latest summary from yesterday. Thanks for the continued support.. US Risk: Since end Feb, there has been increasing selectivity in the US market but where an intact sector rotation and technology mega cap out performance has, so far, prevented a bigger pullback in the SP500. After...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top” – 12th April19
by on Apr 12, 2019 •Good evening guys, Apologies for the delay in posting. The long expected weakness in risk markets hasn’t shown as yet but the stresses remain in place (eg divergent 52 week highs for many indexes) despite some renewal in the cyclical themes, eg the Soxx making new all time highs or +40% in the last 3...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Weakness” 25th March19
by on Mar 26, 2019 •Apologies for the delay in posting this. This is last week’s update but the analysis is sound and I will update in the next 48hrs with the latest print. US Risk: After the early March risk pullback, following the tactical pattern, where into option expiration you often see the market holding up its 30 to...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Peak, US$ Strengthening” 19th Feb19
by on Feb 19, 2019 •Evening gents and apologies for missing last week’s report point. All assets markets have a positive tail wind here with dovish comments from the several of the major central banks and what appears to be the last gasps of a renewal of the “bad news is good” theme of the last decade. Lead indicators like...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Extending Corrective Bounce” 06th Feb 2019
by on Feb 6, 2019 •I will update with this week tech report more fully as of Friday but for now a brief summary of where we are as i see it. First up – The lead US equity risk mkts – The Sp500 target of 2718 has clearly come into play as this corrective bounce plays out. Momentum is...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17
by on Oct 5, 2017 •With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Oct Wave C Oct Down leg” 21st Sept17
by on Sep 21, 2017 •Asset markets remain pretty much where they were with this low volatility creep up, fixed income aside. The European market rally appears to have stalled on the Euro, for now, holding her ground vs the US$ though the fez (dollar adjusted eurostoxx50) remains constructive with momentum scored on the new highs across timescales. Tactically we...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Copper Breakout Continues” 25th Aug17
by on Aug 25, 2017 •Summer time continues in the price action in major developed market equity markets. We have a fair amount of chop here alongside low volume as participants hold back from committing in either direction. As we know the run up to this period has been off the back of weak breadth and momentum and so the...