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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top This Week” 31st May17
by on Jun 1, 2017 •New highs for US equity market markets once again whilst the Europe takes a breather and the strong euro holding her indexes back for now. The Pound once again coming under pressure. If these near term supports fail the pound could produce a large move very both US$ and Euro, downwards. Commodities remain weak in...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Dollar Top Confirmed” – 22nd March17
by on Mar 23, 2017 •Hi guys, all eyes at present are on the US dollar for signals of a top here as this such a meaningful asset for all risk markets and global liquidity. Needless to explain the long term inverse to prices of the commodities asset class is crucial. That said with the commodity prices providing a significant...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Pull Back” 2nd Feb17
by on Feb 2, 2017 •We have indeed had a false breakout in some risk sectors and indexes but the reversal was hard and fast a pretty good signal of the false break. The US$ is indeed becoming more selective with one of the leads for the selectivity being the usdsgd. (Commented on by Fitzpatrick last week). Alongside rising inflation...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Base Forming, Buy Weakness” 9th Nov16
by on Nov 9, 2016 •Its been a very significant week for risk markets. We have seen the complete reversal of the cyclical weakness themes vs defensive strength. Transports and Financials and other cyclical themes have moved from the negative beta to the positive beta. The evidence is compelling across asset classes. It is all due to fast rising inflationary...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Cash Testing 2120”
by on Nov 2, 2016 •After last week’s holiday from providing a release this week we have a bumper catch up release. We have major movements across risk asset markets. Equity indexes have a tactical correction in play with yesterday the Sp500 even breaking her 2120 level. But looking in more detail we can see the evidence of a sustained...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Divergent Trends ROW vs US – 13th June16
by on Jun 13, 2016 •The reports this week i’m releasing today and later in the week a V2 as the Swiss team remain on holiday for one more week. Their first report back is the 21st of June ie next Tuesday. I wonder what they would make of world markets here.We can see that all the major technical contributors...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016
by on May 18, 2016 •The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the corrective bounce). Across asset classes we looking for direction here and volatility looks set to rise significantly from here in the coming weeks....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactical Low Forming” 26th Jan16
by on Jan 26, 2016 •The probable scenario of a multi week rebound appears to be play here and the 2008 melt down scenario thankfully avoided. I’m traveling unfortunately so i leave the analysis to the reports. Ill add comment in a few days but in hindsight my own book’s timing is so far so good on both sides of...
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Weekly Technical Analysis Alert – “Tactical Buy But Bear Mkt Confirmed” 19th Jan16
by on Jan 19, 2016 •The Swiss team have issued a Technical Alert as markets have moved so quickly in the last 2 weeks. With standing a bounce to 2100 Sp500, they have confirmed a bear market and therefore the probability moves to no new higher highs for the sp500 on this secular bull market. (Effectively this mirror’s JP’s call...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Consolidating” 9th Dec15 V3
by on Dec 9, 2015 •Guys I’m traveling so a quick update here with more to follow later today. Here the Swiss team’s latest: wklytech-8-12-15 Here GS: gstech-7-12-15 3200 level on the eurostoxx 50 a fairly important pre xmas level. Draghi’s disappointing announcement leading to a reversal of the euro carry trade, for now. Its a perfect market event with...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Pre Xmas Rally Pullback” 24th Nov15 V2
by on Nov 25, 2015 •Some interesting price feedback from FX here aside the equity rally has continued. Although the US$ is continuing to make good strength vs sterling and the euro she has scored failure patterns vs several currencies inc the AUD and SGD, CAD and others. This could be a meaningful indicator that the US$’s strength could take...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Buy Weakness” 18th Nov15
by on Nov 19, 2015 •We have yet more soothing sounds from Central banks and asset markets appear to be preparing for the usual Christmas rally. In spite of the remaining technical issues cash is a dangerous asset in this world of understated inflation and persistently attentive central banks. It was right to go long on the lows of a...