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Sunday Reflection & Analysis Of The Near Term Equity Bear Technical Case..
by on Jun 2, 2013 •Hey Guys, I trust you are all having a hugely productive and or relaxing Sunday. Volatility has been stepping up across asset markets in the last few weeks. From fixed income to equities to commodities volatility is increasing here so its correct to take a step back and double check where we are. Its the...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term rebound in speculative positioning”
by on Apr 24, 2013 •No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are...
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Weekly Technical Comments & More.. “Equity Market Distribution into a Top” & “Bullion Secular Bull Intact”
by on Apr 16, 2013 •Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector...
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Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..
by on Mar 29, 2013 •Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests...
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Info Dump – Bullion Weekly Tech Report, WF Monthly Macro, Inverse Correlation JPY Nik225 at extremes.
by on Mar 15, 2013 •A quick info dump here for all. Here below the latest bullion tech. Having been asleep the bullion’s volatility is creeping up again as are her HUI miners. This makes me wake up again on the asset class. BullionWeeklyTechnicals12032013 Here the below the latest WF monthly macro economic run through. Global macro remains very weak....
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2013 Technical Forecast, Cycles, Correlations, Inter Market Analysis & Comment..
by on Jan 8, 2013 •The Swiss team have done themselves proud once again. Words fail me. A superb analysis. Lets see if they can win the European technical team for 2013 as they did in 2012. To the report specifically. There is much to digest here. What I continue to admire about their approach is that it’s probability driven....
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Weekly Market Roundup – “Over Weight High Yield Equities, Under Weight Cash”
by on Dec 10, 2012 •SC stick to the same themes they have held for the last year now. Namely over weight high yield equities and FI and under weight cash, money market funds. They like oil and gold for the geo political hedges they provide. I also include their fx round up and forward looking which is released today....
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Weekly Market Roundup – “Weakness is Likely To Prove Temporary”
by on Nov 2, 2012 •The SC team once again producing a wide ranging report and a more bearish tone, short term, than the UBS technical report. SC are sticking to their defensive themes and are expecting a deeper pull back post the US elections to sp500 1345. This would take price below her 200 d.ma. and would infer a...
Greenlight Capital Q3 Letter to Shareholds – “Desperate measures in non-desperate times”
by on Oct 26, 2012 •Below David Einhorn’s Q3 letter to shareholders. Einhorn has become one of the great hedge fund managers so its worth giving his letter a little time to hear what he says. For note he finished Q3 strongly at +13%. Since 1996 he has achieved an annualized 21.5% return at his firm, Greenlight Capital. For regulars...
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Weely Market Roundup – “Don’t Fight The Fed – Short Term “Risk Assets” Overbought”
by on Oct 5, 2012 •An excellent report as usual. Ill leave specific comments for now until i have a little more time but here below the pdf. My brief single comment here, if i may, is that over bough technical indicators can remain over bought for an extended period so whilst i agree I maintain that the next week...
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Weekly Roundup – “ECB’s ‘Unlimited Action Changes the Risk Reward Dynamics”
by on Sep 7, 2012 •Ive been following SC’s (high net worth private client) wealth management weekly report for a while. To my mind its been accurate and timely in its recommendations and insights. It nicely brings together the key fundamental and technical strands of world asset markets, monetary and fiscal policy all in one weekly report. The ECB’s unlimited...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “A Break of 1422 Opens The Door to 1470”
by on Aug 21, 2012 •This week’s report from the Swiss team follows on from last week’s whereby they are shifting their medium term technical projections towards a bullish scenario. They have moved back their timeline to mid end Sept for a correction. They now expect 1422 to be broken to the upside in the near term. They state an...