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Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top Confirmed” – 28th Jan20
by on Jan 28, 2020 •Guys, i post below a quick tactical update here given the step change in volatility from the recent market movements. US Risk SP500 and Technology have both over shot and reached record overbought territory on their weekly and daily time frames. With sentiment at contrarian levels and the SP500 reaching 3350, risk markets have moved...
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Technical Analysis – SP500 Rotating Higher, Asia EM Breaking Out 5th Nov19
by on Nov 5, 2019 •Its been a while since i updated here. The wave C in risk off that was forecast by the Swiss team just didn’t materialize. The technical setup was clear with multiple death crosses and the exploding challenges in the repo market along side many key markets weakening considerably or slipping into a technical recession inc...
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Technical Analysis – Confirmed, Risk Assets in Wave 3 Breakdown -12th August19
by on Aug 12, 2019 •I hope all are enjoying their summer breaks here. Certainly listed securities of all shapes and sizes are moving here and we see major new trends taking hold and old trends gradually breaking down. For those that have positioned correctly (and incorrectly alike) this is a wealth transformative period. Volatility and directional speed is likely...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Weak US Breadth, Asia EM Breakdown – 2nd May19
by on May 2, 2019 •Guys apologies for the delay in posting, Here the latest summary from yesterday. Thanks for the continued support.. US Risk: Since end Feb, there has been increasing selectivity in the US market but where an intact sector rotation and technology mega cap out performance has, so far, prevented a bigger pullback in the SP500. After...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top” – 12th April19
by on Apr 12, 2019 •Good evening guys, Apologies for the delay in posting. The long expected weakness in risk markets hasn’t shown as yet but the stresses remain in place (eg divergent 52 week highs for many indexes) despite some renewal in the cyclical themes, eg the Soxx making new all time highs or +40% in the last 3...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Negative Divergences, SSE Volume Spike – 01 March19
by on Mar 1, 2019 •Evening guys, For those that have sold, gone short or hedged this rally its been a patient trade for the last few weeks during which many indicators have been showing impending weakness but price has kept drifting high in this bear squeeze with an absence of any contrarian sentiment top in place. US Risk: This...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Mkt Overbought, Bullish Reversal Gold” 12th Oct17
by on Oct 12, 2017 •Its been a good week for the reflation trade with Tips achieving a good bounce and the metals once again achieving a high momentum scores. Copper leading the charge of the metals and platinum lagging. The recent Dollar weakness supportive of course. US equities have seen a sustained bid with many cyclical sectors/indexes overbought on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17
by on Oct 5, 2017 •With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactical Top SP500” 26th Sept17
by on Sep 26, 2017 •Another weeks rolls by and we certainly have got the movement in FX and commodity markets that we anticipated. The only piece of the jigsaw that is still holding back from competing the anticipated price path are US equities with their continued surprising price resilience in spite of the ever weakening technical picture. Unfortunately i’ll...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave Down” 14th Sept17
by on Sep 14, 2017 •We are still waiting here for clear signals from these markets. US markets have drifted higher but without momentum once again. Nasdaq, Soxx, Transports, Finance sectors all appear fading once again at these levels. Breadth is not strong here but a low momentum continuation remains the risk. The expected US$ bounce and oversold levels on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave C Below 2491” 7th Sept17
by on Sep 7, 2017 •Another week and we have seen renewed strength in the US mega caps and oversold sectors/indexes without any particular new breakouts. Nasdaq marginal new price high by a whisker in a volatile index and no matter whether you examine this new price high via stocks above 20dma or 50dma its all very weak stuff once...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Copper Breakout Continues” 25th Aug17
by on Aug 25, 2017 •Summer time continues in the price action in major developed market equity markets. We have a fair amount of chop here alongside low volume as participants hold back from committing in either direction. As we know the run up to this period has been off the back of weak breadth and momentum and so the...