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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Topping, US$ Wave5 Complete, Gold Rallying” 11th Nov14
by on Nov 12, 2014 •Its Tuesday evening so time to review where we are here across the international asset markets. The recovery in stock prices has been near vertical. Momentum is finally fading and breadth on each new high is producing divergences on the near term. Sentiment via AAII as well as the put call ratios suggests extreme bullishness...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Over Bought Extremes, Early November Top, Take Profits” 04th Nov14
by on Nov 4, 2014 •The Swiss team are back and below please find their latest technical analysis comments on world markets. Its the usual excellent report. I would only want to add the strength of the breadth issue to build on the case for a confusing new December high in some US indexes and sectors, Nasdaq included! The recent...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Near Term Overbought” 29th Oct14
by on Oct 30, 2014 •We have a cut down technical update this week due to the Swiss team and AG traveling. Equities have bounced further and faster than many predicted with the sp500 having over achieved sp500 1985 yesterday) the Swiss team’s target of 1950. Sector wise technology and biotech are leading the charge with the biotechs scoring a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SPX to 1940/1950 – 1820 Key Support 21st Oct14
by on Oct 21, 2014 •Asset markets have been moving very quickly over the last 10 days or so. I’m afraid last week I had to focus on my own practice and therefore was unable to bring you a full technical release. This week I have therefore included last week’s missing reports and expanding the usual release to include various...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Intact Short Signal in SP500” 08th Oct14
by on Oct 8, 2014 •So far this correction appears to be one of the most well flagged corrections in living memory. Having said this is has been well flagged for some time so for early shorters that got ahead of price earlier in the year its been a very tough year. The old adage that “we are paid on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Short Signal SP500” 30th Sept14
by on Sep 30, 2014 •Things have deteriorated further from last week with more fresh price sell signals being confirmed across various indexes and sectors. Unless we get a steep appreciation in price, reversing the price patterns we appear to have a near term price top in place. Here the Swiss team’s report: wklytech-30-9-14 And here citi: citi-30-9-14 And here...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Deflationary Pressures Building” 23rd Sept14
by on Sep 24, 2014 •As is normal volatility continues to rise and instruments are starting their Autumn move, lead by the US$ but now bringing in many key levels across instruments. The Swiss team set out their deflationary case in their report below. wklytech-24-9-14 Its a very familiar, one might say classic, corrective bounces aside, model of lower inflation,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “$ Bull Game Changer” 16th Sept14
by on Sep 17, 2014 •The Swiss are back from their holidays. They have released a very interesting new report which continues the theme we have seen for some extended time now of technical divergence between indicators and price across the major US indexes. They offer the possibility of a new Oct high in the SP500 of 2040 or so...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Top Projection Next Week” 20th August14
by on Aug 20, 2014 •I’m traveling so hard to comment on this much at present. I notice the Swiss team are themselves on holiday next week so please take note of this for next week. Here their usual excellent report. wklytech-20-8-14 The FX markets continuing to trade very nicely. Here cs fx wkly cs-fxwkly And here MS FX wkly...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Toppish, 1925 Key Support” 25th June14
by on Jun 24, 2014 •Its Tuesday so time for the Swiss team’s regular technical weekly analysis of the major asset markets. Market breadth improved on last week’s breakout but on a longer term basis remains weak. Sentiment has been reaching extreme levels on the AAII and the put call ratio. Whilst a few weeks ago there did appear a...
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Sunday Technical Analysis – “We Are in Stoppage Time” 16th June14
by on Jun 16, 2014 •Apologies for the slight delay in posting my Sunday reflections. Please find them below. Since the last breakout its been a time of number crunching and questioning this most recent rally. Below is my analysis. But first some reports. First up the uber bearish AG ag-wklytech-16-6-14 And here the equally uber bullish fitzpatrick: citi-wklyytech-16-6-14 And...
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Sunday Tech Considerations – “Are We There Yet” 08th June14
by on Jun 9, 2014 •We had some very promising price signals last week and the promising market breadth then resulted in a Thursday session breakout for most the key sectors. The Nik225 joined the move and the bull market started to move forward once again. In spite of some key technical signals that participants had started to allocated long...