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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 New Breakout Campaign” – 25th April17
by on Apr 26, 2017 •Risk markets have surged upward and this bull starts yet another strong continuation upwards. Some might use the word parabolic to explain this recent price action. FX remains a little complicated for the moment. Bullion has fallen due to risk on but as risk on implies reflation (tip remains elevated) the gold move technical tactical...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Sub 2378 Short Biased” 21st April17
by on Apr 21, 2017 •Another week rolls by so quickly. Global asset markets have seen more weakness over the last week with much lower levels for cyclical commodity themes and a bounce off January lows for many eg copper and a breakdown for iron ore prices in spite of a pull back for the US$ basket. Breakdown (likely false...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Is the Reflation Over? 13th April17
by on Apr 13, 2017 •An ominous title this week from the guys which i pick up on below and in my mind is centered around Europe once again. Markets wise, another week rolls by with the guys clearly getting this equity mild retrace correct, so far. The risk on bullish bigger picture remains as was so we should be...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top” 5th April17
by on Apr 6, 2017 •Hi guys, we have this continuation of tactical weakness in risk here as the fast moves from earlier in the year continue to be digested. There is nothing as yet in my tech book to see this as anything more than a consolidation of the prior moves. The US$ remains unresolved though more evidence is...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Short Signals Intact” 29th March17
by on Mar 30, 2017 •A little more volatility in asset markets coming through as US equities struggle for direction on the near term with continued weakness on lead cyclical indexes like the Russel, Transports & Financials. Key resistances are holding for the moment, although the Nasdaq just about scoring a marginal new high by a point or so. If...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Dollar Top Confirmed” – 22nd March17
by on Mar 23, 2017 •Hi guys, all eyes at present are on the US dollar for signals of a top here as this such a meaningful asset for all risk markets and global liquidity. Needless to explain the long term inverse to prices of the commodities asset class is crucial. That said with the commodity prices providing a significant...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Reversal In the Making” 15th March17
by on Mar 16, 2017 •Its been a fast and furious last few days with a major reversal signal in the US$ as well as a new momentum bullish moves across many commodities, their miners (COPX GDX etc) as well as new reaction highs in several cyclical indexes like Tech (QQQ) and Home builders (HGX). With both their breadth remaining...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top This Week” 22nd Jan17 V2
by on Feb 22, 2017 •Another week roles past and we have recorded, with 7 up-days in a row, the longest winning streak since September 2013. Tactically, the recent rally has been near vertical and many sectors are starting to look exhaustive in the near term again. Playing for short term pull backs is dangerous thing to do in such...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Overshooting or Melt-up?” 15th Feb17
by on Feb 15, 2017 •Its been another superb week for risk assets with many US sectors starting what appears to be fresh momentum breakouts in a market that has momentum and volume. Whether it be sp500 for nasdaq100 breadth is once again confirming the move. Price is true and trading entries are working well due to the combination of...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Remains Vulnerable” 8th Feb17
by on Feb 8, 2017 •Hi Guys, We have the usual tech run through below. Notably the Swiss team have brought forward their US$ top this week. Several pairs have signaled that the US$ cyclical bull appears to have topped or very close to topping as a basket. Risk remains within a distribution at present and its clear that technical...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Near Low” 25th Jan17
by on Jan 25, 2017 •I am traveling once again but very aware that participants are waiting this report and markets have momentum and are moving fast. So without delay i’m post this report up and will update in flight lounges as I can with Fitzpatrick et al and comments etc. Just very quickly, this is a wave 5 bull...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2234 Key Support” – 18th Jan17
by on Jan 18, 2017 •Welcome back and to the first weekly technical analysis post of 2017. What a phenomenal run up we have had since early November16 across most risk assets, even including the eurostoxx50 eventually. The negative beta turned out to be Asia over the period in spite of initial promising signs. The ftse100 carrying the local currency...