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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Gold Near To Bottom” 24th Feb14 v3
by on Feb 24, 2015 •I’m traveling again. Full regular update tomorrow but here the Swiss team’s latest in the mean time. wklytech-24-2-15 (Updating as i travel). Here Fitzpatrick cb-tech-21-2-15 And an update on the oil trade: cb-oil2; And here some nice longer range work on where we are in the cycle: cyclemap-20-2-15 And here Danske on rates: danse-rates More...
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Weekly Technical Interim Update – “Cyclical Model Adjustment SP500 Breakout” 14th Feb15
by on Feb 14, 2015 •Investing and trading is only and always about probabilities. The probability of a severe correction in global equity markets had a window to occur. The probability for markets to take this window is passing as resistances are overcome and capital sustains her march out of cash and into assets. Central banks are determined to flush...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bullion Buy The Dips” 3rd Feb15
by on Feb 4, 2015 •European equities have a strong monetary tailwind for now. Unlike the Yen and US$ quantitative move the euro has debased prior to the commencement of the euro OMT program which commences in March. This effectively creates an even warmer tailwind to euro equities especially exporters though from a macro perspective how long this can sustain...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Gold Surprising To Upside, Even Structurally” 27th Jan15
by on Jan 28, 2015 •Another week of volatility sustains. It was a historic week for news flow as the ECB finally pressed the OMT button. Not a collective quantitative OMT action but performed via the NCBs (National Central Banks). If the devil is in the detail of these sort of policy announcements this was the certainly the detail. In...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Distribution Above 1972” 21st Jan15
by on Jan 21, 2015 •Its been an extremely busy start to the year with volatility staying high across most asset classes. FX and the PMs have stepped up a gear. The US$ bull market has been truly impressive. As impressive as the euro’s bear market. The SNB’s decision has thrown risk management into total confusion as historic volatility in...
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2015 Technical Roadmap – 05th Jan15
by on Jan 5, 2015 •I believe we have started the year as we will likely go on. 2015 will likely be the year of step change in volatility. Before we turn to 2015 projections and technical considerations lets for a moment reflect on 2014 2014 was the year of the US$s return.The US$ strength played havoc with performance numbers...
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Interim Boxing Day Technical Release – “Year Of The Sheep” 26th Dec14
by on Dec 26, 2014 • Its Boxing day so i’m not providing a full release here for a few days yet. I will release a 2014 retrospect and look ahead to 2015 pre the calender end of year but let me enjoy this holiday for a few more days guys. Having said the above, I appreciate that it is...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Key Support 2049, Buy GDX” 09th Dec14
by on Dec 11, 2014 •Apologies for the delay in releasing technical comments and the Swiss team’s report this week. If you had experienced my travel arrangements (in sea storms) over the last 48hrs you would understand. At these levels instruments could see a step change in volatility as ive been saying over the last few weeks. On yesterday’s price...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Prelude 08th December14
by on Dec 8, 2014 •Here as a prelude to the update tomorrow please find the latest CB report from Fitzpatrick. With the USDJPY now moving to 122 his largest allocation has been a the positional alpha fx trade for 2014. Congratulations to Fitzpatrick. Cb-wklytech-7-12-14 And here the UB wealth team with their own useful technical analysis report on world...
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Technical & Macro Report Updates – 4th Dec14
by on Dec 4, 2014 •Here some reports missed from the last update. I’m going to treat this update as a release point for many reports over this weekend so do please check back here over the coming days. I’ll be releasing many 2015 views as well here. Firstly Fitzpatrick at CB (which i’ll update with his new report tomorrow...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Limited Further Upside” 25th November14
by on Nov 26, 2014 •The time of the week for a major release and tech update. This bull market is stronger that many would have ever imagined. Monetary induced or a real recovery no matter. We are paid on price and price is moving relentlessly higher. Cash as an asset class remains very undesirable and therefore all asset markets...
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Sunday Marco Update – 16th November14
by on Nov 16, 2014 •I will update this I promise later today. But here a preview in case you are also working this Sunday. To recap multi decade themes, our problems in our fiat US$ system are about debt and sustaining the exponential ms expansion. Its correct therefore that credit markets should continue to be a lead on what...