by
prestonni
on
Feb 18, 2014 •
A considered and therefore excellent report from the Swiss team. Lets get to the detail. Cyclical model wise and strategically speaking therefore they are sticking to their model for a deeper h2 continuation of the equity bull market building to an important top for equity indexes, SP500 1920 to 1970. (These are bullish levels but...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 18, 2014 •
Here below the major weekly FX technical and fundamental perspectives from the large institutional players on the major FX pairs. First up HSBC with a good run through on the macro fx picture: HSBC-FX-Macrostrat-14-2-14 And here the Citi Fx technical perspective: citi-fx-13-2-14 Here MS with their usual weekly FX strategy report: MS-FXwkly-14-2-14 And here the...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 16, 2014 •
I make a few US Index technical comments and observations here below. Firstly on market breadth looking for clues as to the significance of this recent correction in equity indexes. Here we see the number of S&P500 stocks making 52 week lows over the last 3 years. This may look like noise initially on viewing...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 16, 2014 •
Fitzpatrick and his team deserves their reputation. An outstanding report. I realize for many Sunday is reading/study day so I’ll issue this quickly now and leave the Capsyn comment until a comprehensive ‘capsyn’ report this evening. Here Fitzpatrick’s latest: Citi-wklymmtech-14-2-14 And here the Commerz team’s latest bullion technical analysis issue. Commerz-bulliontech-14-2-14 Least we forget, the...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 16, 2014 •
Here below CS’s outstanding chart pack. I find it difficult to find many holes in this pack. The longer term MACD moment comments on the equity markets generally are spot on and fit perfectly with a gradual topping out process in these equity indexes. But note so too are the SP500 near term call for...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 14, 2014 •
Here below please find the latest reports from the major institutions. As usual many more to come. The rebound from the lows of the recent correction have produced some big bounce backs in many equity indexes. The divergence in performance is worthy of comment. In the winner’s circle, China’s Shanghai index has risen nearly 15%...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 11, 2014 •
Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical comments across global multi asset markets. Their recent calls have been pretty much “spot on the money” and many of the calls contrary to the consensus market view which is really noteworthy and praise indeed. I’m unfortunately traveling at present so I will have to make...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 9, 2014 •
Latest update on reports. Here Commerz bank with their technical strategy and trade levels below. Of all the charts, one of the most notable to me is the eurusd implied volatility chart. Volatility has halved in the last 18 months or so. This is interesting for financial speculators as low volatility in potentially explosive instruments...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 6, 2014 •
Here below a number of the leading technical and fundamental institutional reports on the major FX pairs. Its been a busy day today and disappointing once again that the gap between action and words is as large as ever on behalf of Draghi at the ECB. Here the reports: First up Commerz: Commerz-fx-tech-2-2-14 Here Scotia...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 5, 2014 •
Here again below the latest report from Citi’s technical analysis guru, namely Tom Fitzpatrick. His report is signposted as an FX report but it has become something more like a multi asset technical report. I present it such and cross analyze it as such as well. I was going to present his report alongside...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 4, 2014 •
Its that the time of the week again for the Swiss team’s technical analysis of the major asset markets. To summarize. They believe a near term low is close though likely later this week or early next. They have been surprised by the extent of EM weakness but insist this is likely to be a...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 2, 2014 •
Firstly, a quick “capsyn” perspective and comment on the recent ‘sell off’. The S&P 500 is now 3% below her all-time high. Last week’s movements appeared volatile but they are merely volatile relative to recent past. The ‘correction’ is severe therefore only when viewed as a part of this late-stage parabolic advance. I remind that...