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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rising Selectivity in Global Equities” 30th Nov17 V2
by on Nov 30, 2017 •Rising selectivity in global equities is correct but nonetheless with ever higher highs in major US indexes. And whats more, in the last few sessions, we have significant price moves as lead cyclical indexes of transports and banking have price confirmed the fresh price breakouts. We have to acknowledge there is now plenty of confirming...
Weekly Technical Analysis – “$ Recovery Over/Flattening Yield Curve” 23rd Nov17
by on Nov 23, 2017 •Hey guys, Another week rolls by with US equities maintaining their perpetual drift up style, ever narrowing bull market. Once again fresh price highs with very weak breadth again and with cyclical lead indexes providing non confirmation also. This appears to conform to all the classic text book end wave 5 scenarios with all risk...
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Weekly Technical Analysis “Short Dax, Nik225” 15th Nov17
by on Nov 15, 2017 •We appear to have a market again here with prices rising and falling in a normal manner as opposed to the prior drift ever upward of recent months. Whilst the main US equity markets continue to see low volatility moves, price continues to be close to all time record highs, volatility is increasing and price...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “4 Month Cycle Top in Sight & Europe in Wave 5” 2nd Nov17
by on Nov 2, 2017 •Another week rolls by and its been the theme of continued world equity mkts strength. Rising US$ rates expectations and a small jump in inflation expectations. Asia continues to out perform and the Eurostoxx50 hits her 2014 resistance level and FEZ (eurostoxx50US$) scores another breakout higher high of this trend. Ill leave the equity detail...
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Weekly Technical Analysis V2 – “Divergences in Out performers, Watch Transports” 26th Oct17
by on Oct 26, 2017 •Another week rolls by with sp500 price at almost the identical level she closed at the week before. Volatility has risen a little however with a reversal price bar but no follow through as yet. Lead cyclicals like transports, soxx, tech and finance either not achieving much change or slightly down. World indexes are also...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Mkt Overbought, Bullish Reversal Gold” 12th Oct17
by on Oct 12, 2017 •Its been a good week for the reflation trade with Tips achieving a good bounce and the metals once again achieving a high momentum scores. Copper leading the charge of the metals and platinum lagging. The recent Dollar weakness supportive of course. US equities have seen a sustained bid with many cyclical sectors/indexes overbought on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17
by on Oct 5, 2017 •With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactical Top SP500” 26th Sept17
by on Sep 26, 2017 •Another weeks rolls by and we certainly have got the movement in FX and commodity markets that we anticipated. The only piece of the jigsaw that is still holding back from competing the anticipated price path are US equities with their continued surprising price resilience in spite of the ever weakening technical picture. Unfortunately i’ll...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Oct Wave C Oct Down leg” 21st Sept17
by on Sep 21, 2017 •Asset markets remain pretty much where they were with this low volatility creep up, fixed income aside. The European market rally appears to have stalled on the Euro, for now, holding her ground vs the US$ though the fez (dollar adjusted eurostoxx50) remains constructive with momentum scored on the new highs across timescales. Tactically we...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave Down” 14th Sept17
by on Sep 14, 2017 •We are still waiting here for clear signals from these markets. US markets have drifted higher but without momentum once again. Nasdaq, Soxx, Transports, Finance sectors all appear fading once again at these levels. Breadth is not strong here but a low momentum continuation remains the risk. The expected US$ bounce and oversold levels on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave C Below 2491” 7th Sept17
by on Sep 7, 2017 •Another week and we have seen renewed strength in the US mega caps and oversold sectors/indexes without any particular new breakouts. Nasdaq marginal new price high by a whisker in a volatile index and no matter whether you examine this new price high via stocks above 20dma or 50dma its all very weak stuff once...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Sept Bearish, Bullion Buy the Dips – 31st Aug17
by on Aug 31, 2017 •Its back to the office time guys so a longer update. I hope you enjoyed a relaxing summer break as here we march into September. August is behind us and we enter the most bearishly biased month for equities in the year. Sept 15 and 16 were bearish months, of course the Bear Sterns, Lehman...