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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Take Profits Across Equities” 23rd March16
by on Mar 23, 2016 •Its too early to call the top but we are very very close to confirmation across instruments. http://www.capitalsynthesis.tech/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/es.jpg We have the sp500 losing upward momentum, weak breadth, contrarian put call, dropping volatility vixx, negative divergence on price, we have a renewed us$ bounce and a big bounce at over sold levels vs many commodity currencies...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Corrective Top In Sight” 16th March16
by on Mar 16, 2016 •Risk assets continue to build to an important and profitable corrective top from their over sold bounce earlier in Q1. I’m taking gradually taking profits on risk, though not precious metals, at the higher levels of the top of this very recent distribution. Unfortunately i cant bring many meaningful technical comments of my own as...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bounce in Risk Close to Completion” 8th March16
by on Mar 9, 2016 •Price action has been steady with no fireworks, only oil aside. Its an interesting report again this week from the guys. The correction from over sold levels across risk has occurred more powerfully and rapidly than the Swiss team expected. They have therefore shifted their timing model forward reading the recent moves as an impulsive...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Near Term Overbought But ABC Rally Sustains” – 2nd March16 v2
by on Mar 2, 2016 •So far so good on the ABC rally. A is extending and B is delayed, for now. Breadth is weakening so its a matter of time before we take a breather here. Comments on micro managing this rally from last week sustain. Gold has not shown much of retrace in spite of the US dollar...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “A of ABC Bear Mkt Rally Near Term Complete” 24th Feb16
by on Feb 25, 2016 •The market risk on rally continues though as a part of the rally the team forecasting a near term top before continuation, classic ABC. Oil appears to have bottomed as have many commodities and commodity fx. Gold appears likely near term capped for now at her recent resistance 1250 to 1270. Currencies wise, the gbp...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk On Tactical Buy, Gold Major Bottom” 18th FEB16 V2
by on Feb 18, 2016 •None of us have a crystal ball but we do have technical analysis which on probability is proving once again a wonderful guide to short and medium term asset market direction. Levels wise we did indeed score the lower low across most risk markets and it did appear indeed to provide a wonderful trading entry...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Basing but Re-test of Lows, Possible” 2nd Feb16
by on Feb 3, 2016 •Markets are moving quickly here so a few technical comments. The bounce has not sustained. US sector wise the prior alphas of tech and bio tech are the unsurprisingly the alphas now to the down side. Bio tech particularly has made new lows again and is now down 40% from her high point. Europe has...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactical Low Forming” 26th Jan16
by on Jan 26, 2016 •The probable scenario of a multi week rebound appears to be play here and the 2008 melt down scenario thankfully avoided. I’m traveling unfortunately so i leave the analysis to the reports. Ill add comment in a few days but in hindsight my own book’s timing is so far so good on both sides of...
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Weekly Technical Analysis Alert – “Tactical Buy But Bear Mkt Confirmed” 19th Jan16
by on Jan 19, 2016 •The Swiss team have issued a Technical Alert as markets have moved so quickly in the last 2 weeks. With standing a bounce to 2100 Sp500, they have confirmed a bear market and therefore the probability moves to no new higher highs for the sp500 on this secular bull market. (Effectively this mirror’s JP’s call...
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Interim Technical Analysis Update – “At Key Supports Across Markets” 17th Jan 2016
by on Jan 18, 2016 •The negative sentiment high momentum failure of Xmas rally has continued so that we are now at some key levels across many asset markets inc currencies and commodities and equities. Momentum is sufficiently strong and leverage has been sufficiently high that stop hunting can certainly occur here but we are over extended and sentiment is...
Interim 2016 Technical Analysis Updates – 7th Jan16
by on Jan 7, 2016 •As things are moving so fast here as we sweep through the 1980 support today on the Sp500 I want to bring you a few more 2016 Outlook technical updates. First up, today, Fitzpatrick’s latest comments. When he released this the support Sp500 was holding but for now its quickly fallen over and as his...
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The 2016 Technical Analysis Outlook – “7Yr Equity Cycle Rolling Over, Buy Gold” Jan16 V2
by on Jan 6, 2016 •Welcome to the first post for the 2016 year and I can’t remember starting a year to so much volatility and uncertainty. There is so much to comment on inside the following outlook but this to come. Without delay I want to bring you the technical “Swiss teams” outlook for 2016 and beyond which is...