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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rising Selectivity” 28th April15
by on Apr 29, 2015 •Its been another very busy week of short term currency trading. There has been stellar momentum in FX markets. Positionally its been correct to shift FX book inline with a weakening US$ to provide a warm US$ tailwind to the long book. It was correct to shift out of the US$ cash and only cover...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Minor Top, Europe Buy The Dips” 21st April15 V2
by on Apr 22, 2015 •Its time for another technical run through of the major asset markets. We have continued to chop up directionally across all asset classes here from equities to fx. We are looking for direction which is neatly reflected in the latest cftc report. Some profit taking and paring of positions but no trend changes, as yet....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bull Trend in Equities Remains Intact” 14th April15
by on Apr 15, 2015 •We have seen some “choppy” price action in both equities and FX in the last week or so but the larger trend directions are the prevailing themes for price. Unless there is a serious news development price will travel along the path of least resistance. For equities that means higher prices and for FX the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 BreakOut Attempt” 08th April15
by on Apr 8, 2015 •Although last Thursday was an impressive disappoint for US job creation it has not stuck. Technical levels have held once again and yesterday some equity markets even managed new breakout highs. For my book ive taken hedges away again on the sp500. Currencies wise, if it were not for elections in the UK and the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Wave C, HangSeng Breaking Out” 31st March15
by on Mar 31, 2015 •Its amazing how quickly Tuesday seems to come around every week. Its the usual drill again this week with a v1 issue and updates to follow. Here a trio of technical reports from the “swiss team”, ML and of course the excellent GS report. Much more to come tomorrow. First up by way of an...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Ftse100 New Secular Bull Market 8200 Target” 24th March15 V3
by on Mar 24, 2015 •Volatility has continued with all asset markets continuing to show large movements again in the last week. Currency markets have traded very well with very clear price signals. For my own book its been an exceptionally strong week for FX and with euro equities remaining strong and the IBEX35 breaking out strongly. I going to...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bearish Bellow 2040, Bullish Above 2097” 17th March15
by on Mar 17, 2015 •Its the time of the week for another technical run through the major world asset markets. As so often is the case much seems to rest on the decision of the world’s central bankers. The Eurusd is very extended and is affecting all asset markets. Nonetheless, it seems any manner of technical setup can be...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Likely Test of 1970 to 2000” 11th March14 “V2”
by on Mar 11, 2015 •I’m traveling again I’m afraid so i’m going to have to update this on the move. The sell off was well flagged technically so, at the least, hedges were the order of the day on the reversal bar from last Tuesday. For more aggressive price traders Thursday provided a weak bull response setting up the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Closing Break Of 2100 SPX Negative” 4th March14 – V2
by on Mar 4, 2015 •Apologies team a lot to catch up on in terms price action and all the various technical indicators and sentiment. Let me start with the reports as there are a lot here to update with: Firstly the Swiss team’s latest: wklytech-03-3-15 SPX 2100 is broken. (As I update this end of day the break at...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Gold Near To Bottom” 24th Feb14 v3
by on Feb 24, 2015 •I’m traveling again. Full regular update tomorrow but here the Swiss team’s latest in the mean time. wklytech-24-2-15 (Updating as i travel). Here Fitzpatrick cb-tech-21-2-15 And an update on the oil trade: cb-oil2; And here some nice longer range work on where we are in the cycle: cyclemap-20-2-15 And here Danske on rates: danse-rates More...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Bull Intact” 18th Feb15 V2
by on Feb 19, 2015 •In spite of world growth slowing dramatically and US Corporates struggling with the resurgent US$ her equity markets appear to have sufficient strength to avoid a correction. Sectors wise US housing is leading the charge making consistent higher highs. Technology and Biotech within this are also in breakout and strongly. The market breadth of the...
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Weekly Technical Interim Update – “Cyclical Model Adjustment SP500 Breakout” 14th Feb15
by on Feb 14, 2015 •Investing and trading is only and always about probabilities. The probability of a severe correction in global equity markets had a window to occur. The probability for markets to take this window is passing as resistances are overcome and capital sustains her march out of cash and into assets. Central banks are determined to flush...