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Multi Market Marco & Technical Analysis Update – Citi,GS,Yardeni, Capsyn, JP, CS, Nomura,MS,Scotia,Commerz-16th March14
by on Mar 17, 2014 •We are almost exactly 5 years into one of the longest cyclical bull markets of the last century. And within this cyclical bull market we are at a point of significant technical “stretch” on a many different metrics including not having testing the 200 day moving average since 2012 or not having experienced a 10%...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “Watch China” 11th March14
by on Mar 11, 2014 •Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s comments and analysis. An excellent timely report as usual. We are at a critical junction across markets at present usual but a bit more concise as we are in difficult zone here across many instruments. The Geopolitical situation is also playing into the mix....
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Multi Market Macro & Technical Analysis Reports – JP,Citi,MS,CS 09th March14
by on Mar 9, 2014 •In spite of the recent euro strength few are betting with her for now. The consensus view is that the 1.39 area will likely hold vs the US$. JP below are allowing for an outside move to 1.42 as the maximum level the euro could achieve and they have raised their 2014 average eurusd value...
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FX Strategy & Technical Analysis Update – BarCap,Nomura,Citi – 6th March 2014
by on Mar 7, 2014 •We got a big move in the euro yesterday and this is feeding into all asset markets in the near term. Here Commerz on the news flow: commerz-fxstrat-6-3-14 The question all asset and wealth allocators must be asking themselves this morning is whether this is the start of a meaningful medium term trend of euro...
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FX Technical Strategy Update – MS,JP,Commerz,Nomura – 5th March14
by on Mar 5, 2014 •We have the ECB with a seemingly important decision to make tomorrow. Their “OMT” hands may be tied but they have other options of course inc going negative on over night bank deposits as well as lowering official euro area interest rates still further. Growth remains anemic in the euro zone and French and Italian...
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Multi Market Wkly Reports – Update CS,JP,SC – 3rd March13
by on Mar 4, 2014 •We are in a choppy near term directional zone here would be my comment with a tendency towards testing the recent buying supports. All the technical issues remain unchanged. If we get yet another higher high it will be on the basis of significant divergence to momentum. The Swiss team are traveling today. They may...
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Multi Market Weekly Technical – Citi (Fitzpatrick) – 28th Feb13
by on Mar 3, 2014 •Another excellent report here from Fitzpatrick becoming increasingly bearish equities and bullish US$ & fixed income. Ill leave it to Fitzpatrick to explain, report here: citi-mmwklytech-28-2-14 Rich
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Multi Market Weekly Technical Analysis – Citi (Fitzpatrick) 20th – 25th Feb14
by on Feb 27, 2014 •Here a couple of the latest Fitzpatrick reports from Citi. What I really admire about his reports is that he blends the technical and fundamental in a way few do. He is prepared to step beyond the near term correlations to offer what are near term contrarian macro bets that are in line with a...
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Multi Market Allocations & Technical Analysis – CS, JP, MS, Citi, Nomura, SC – 25th Feb14
by on Feb 25, 2014 •In a rush here im afraid so here a selection of reports. Here the citi fx team covering the bullion asset. (This is different technical team to the Fitzpatrick team so just be careful on that one). Citi-billiontech-17-2-14 Here JP on euro equities: jp-euroequity-24-2-14 Here JP on us equity JP-equitystrategyUS-21-2-14 And here JP asia jp-asia-20-2-14...
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“Multi Market” Allocations & Technical Reports – SC,CS,JP – 15th – 19th Feb14
by on Feb 20, 2014 •A few back reports from a few days ago that I wanted to post up prior to posting their latest in the next 48hrs. Here SC private bank with their “MM” view. Its fairly bullish stuff which is the consensus view of course. A general comment would be its a very middle of the road...
FX Fundamental & Technical Analysis Update – HSBC,JP,CS,BarCap,MS,Citi – 17th Feb14
by on Feb 18, 2014 •Here below the major weekly FX technical and fundamental perspectives from the large institutional players on the major FX pairs. First up HSBC with a good run through on the macro fx picture: HSBC-FX-Macrostrat-14-2-14 And here the Citi Fx technical perspective: citi-fx-13-2-14 Here MS with their usual weekly FX strategy report: MS-FXwkly-14-2-14 And here the...
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CapSyn US Equity Index Technical Analysis – “Technical Damage To Risk On” – 16th Feb14
by on Feb 16, 2014 •I make a few US Index technical comments and observations here below. Firstly on market breadth looking for clues as to the significance of this recent correction in equity indexes. Here we see the number of S&P500 stocks making 52 week lows over the last 3 years. This may look like noise initially on viewing...