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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cannot Rule Out A Final Overshoot Towards 1860” 21 Jan14
by on Jan 21, 2014 •I’m afraid I’m traveling at present so I’m unable to make the usual comments on the Swiss team’s latest report. I know many speculators and investors follow their comments and analysis religiously so I release the report without comment for the moment. Having said this, very briefly I add, we starting to drift here and...
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Global Maco Multi Markets inc FX Strat Updates – HSBC,JP,CS,UB,GS,WF,Commerz, 17 Jan14
by on Jan 17, 2014 •Here below a mix of multi market reports. To start us off a purely visual great report from CS. Their brilliant macro chart update. There is much to say on these long range technical charts. I can see several of them repeated on my own screens inc the eurusd long term chart. Also the secular...
FX Technical Analysis – Strat & Tactics – CS,UB,JP,Citi,Barcap,Nomura – 15 Jan14
by on Jan 16, 2014 •A look at the major foreign exchange pairs. But first a quick retrace of where we have come from. The US$ index has been in a bear market trend since forming a double top price range in the period June to end July 2013. Conversely the Euro has enjoyed a reasonably strong bull market vs...
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Latest “MM” & Equity Reports – BarCap,Citi,JP,CS,GS 14 Jan14
by on Jan 15, 2014 •Here are a selection of some of the latest multi market reports from the major institutions. CS here: CS-MM-10-1-14 And here CS Global Macro CS-GlobalMM-13-1-14 And here the Citi global wealth team with their mm views and allocations: Citiwealthwkly-14-1-14 And least we forget, here Goldman’s on the near term correction report they issued a few...
Global FX Technical Analysis – BarCap,Citi,JP, Danske,JP,MIG,Nordea – 10 Jan13
by on Jan 12, 2014 •Its been a busy week back on the FX markets. First a quick walk through on the past and a summary of the current issues ahead relating FX to all asset markets. The last few years has seen gradually reducing volatility in the global FX markets. The risk on inverse correlation ratio to the US$...
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“MM” Allocations/Tech/Recs – CS,Citi,JP,MS, Barcap – 10 Jan14
by on Jan 11, 2014 •Here the latest multi market recommendations and allocations from the majors. First up Citi in a very useful short report detailing some of the 2013 history and projections for 2014. They sight a 93% probability for out performance in N.Asian equities. Citi-globalmmwkly-06-1-14 A couple of concise reports from allocation strat and changes. MSwealth-mm-06-1-14 And here...
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“MM” EM & Asian Focus – JP, Sch – 08th Jan14
by on Jan 10, 2014 •The EM markets badly under performed for 2013 here some reports from the JP team covering the year passed and the year ahead for EM and Asian markets from a macro and then dropping down into specific tactical picks. Commercial property is a significant weighting of asset allocators. Note the rec from JP for Sun...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rotation Bonds & Commodities into Equities, The New Mega Trend” 07Jan14
by on Jan 8, 2014 •Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical report. As its their first technical report for 2014 its a nice review of the year past and attempts to sign post where we have come from and we are going on their cyclical road maps. Its an exceptionally thought provoking and therefore meaningful medium and...
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“MM” Reports (Inc FI & FX) CS,JP,TD,CB – 03 Jan13
by on Jan 5, 2014 •Some of the institutions issued new reports as of Friday. Many firm’s research desks have remained closed until tomorrow or in some cases Tuesday. Here are the latest reports for the first complete week back in the new year 2014. Here the outstanding ‘mm’ report from CS to kick things off. cs-mm2-23-12-13 Here from JP...
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2014 Outlooks – “MM” Technical Analysis. ML,CS,BS,Citi,SB,HS,JL,WF
by on Dec 31, 2013 •Last post for 2013. What a wonderful year it has been for trend followers.Hedge funds have generally had a dismal year. One quote from a hedge fund manager summed up the situation nicely. “All you had to do this year was go long a major US index and go focus on your golf swing”. Yes...
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“The New Great Game” Thunder Road Dec2013
by on Dec 30, 2013 •I very pleased to bring you the latest, hugely insightful, multi market macro report, namely, the Thunder Road Report. During this festive holiday period its a perfect time for some reflection on the macro and how this feed into our macro and micro allocations for the coming year. A very timely release therefore. Thunder Road’s...
Macro Outlook “The Pain in Spain” – IMF, ML, CapSyn – Dec13
by on Dec 29, 2013 •Spain continues her economic struggle with another negative year for growth in 2013. The clear problem for Spain continues to be a lack of credit for the private sector, households and corporates alike. Year on year, since the onset of the 2008 global financial crisis loans to the private sector have fallen sharply. The Spanish...