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“Deleveraging? CapSyn Outlook & “MM” Weekly Reports – 21st Dec13
by on Dec 29, 2013 •Here below some final 2013 weekly reports from the majors sticking to the themes we have seen before. Inevitably they are forward looking into 2014. Its clear on a macro market level (ie on major themes) the institutional teams are uniformly sticking to the over weight equities and under weight bonds but long junk. Under...
Xmas Weekly Technical Update – “Santa’s Rally Sustains” 24th Dec13
by on Dec 24, 2013 •A very brief Christmas technical update as the US markets soar to new all time record highs capping a wonderful year for speculators and investors alike. 2013 has conformed perfectly to second half of December strong positive seasonal period. Some call it ‘window dressing’ and some call it Santa’s Rally. For whatever reason we have...
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JP “MM” Mnthly Reports – & MS 2014 Outlook Dec13
by on Dec 19, 2013 •Here some very recent monthly wealth allocation type reports. JP-MMstrat-mnthly-dec13 jp-longtermstrat-17dec13 JP-allocations-mnthly-dec13 And here the ms “mm” 2014 forecast doc. ms-fc2014 All the best Rich
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Economic & Fixed Income Analysis Inc Country Focus – ML,Danske,BNP,CS,WF,JP – Dec13
by on Dec 19, 2013 •At present i post up these numerous economic and country focused reports without any commentary. The holiday seasons is a time for reflection and analysis of this data so lets come back and comment more meaningfully on some of the major macro themes behind and in front of us over the holiday period. Here some...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Mid Dec Buying Setup” 17th Dec13
by on Dec 17, 2013 •Its that time of the week for the usual technical update across the major asset markets. The Swiss team stick to their bullish theme of forecasting a likely near term bottom for the US indexes and a buying opportunity therefore. They also stick to their medium term view that a deeper Q1 2014 7 to...
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Weekly “MM” Reports – Barcap,MS,CS,DanskeB 13 Dec13
by on Dec 16, 2013 •Here below some of the latest multi market “mm” reports issued late last week and some from close of business Friday. barcap-mmwklytech-12-12-13 cs-macrostrat-11-12-13 CSwealth-mmwkly-13-12-13 cs-wklymm-11-12-13 CS-mmwkly-13-12-13 Danske-mmwkly-13-12-13 MSwealth-dec13 I stated last week that i would be more bearish than i am at present in terms of allocations and weightings if it wasn’t for the positive...
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JP-Equity, FX & Fixed Income 2014
by on Dec 14, 2013 •Here three outstanding reports from JP running the continued theme of forward looking 2014 view.No tech in specifically but don’t let that stop you from reading these two from the UK teams first and the third from the US equities team, which is a bit more of a cheer leading review, i believe. Both these...
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Multi Markets “MM” Weekly – SC,CB,GS,BarCap,CS, (9-13Dec13)
by on Dec 11, 2013 •A host of weekly “MM” reports from the major institution’s wealth and private banking teams. There is much to add comment to these reports but under immense time pressure as we build to year end here. citi-wealth-mmwkly-09-12-13 Barcap-wklymm-06-12-13 cswealth-wklymkts-06-12-13 GS-WklyMkts SC-wklymkt-07-12-13 FX and Equity to follow shortly. Luck to all Rich
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DB – 2014 Multi Mkt & Focus Credit Forecasts
by on Dec 11, 2013 •The 2014 forecasts are starting to come thick and fast from the majors. Many more inc comments and Capsyn 2014 view to follow soon. Multi mkts db-2014 & DB 2014 with a special focus on credit markets.Note 2014 is likely to provide some credit volatility if and when the Fed finally taper. db-credit2014 The price...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 1850 Remains The Target” 10th Dec13
by on Dec 10, 2013 •Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s run through. The headline is they maintain that any near term weakness is corrective in nature and part of a year end push higher. This report is a bit thinner than usual but this fits with the theme of being patient for our year...
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Commodities & Fixed Income – CS,BarCap,GS,CB – 8th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •Here some commodity and fixed income related reports. Watch both markets very carefully here. The UST is back over 2.8% at 2.86%. She is reaching a danger threshold area feeding into US mortgage rates etc. The spread to junk is at extremes. The text book case is that rates rising are usually correlated to cyclical...
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Allocations, Tech & Strat – CS Wealth, MS Wealth & ML – 06th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •To start off with a great report here from MS wealth re macro and mkt comments feeding into their allocation models. Note “S&P 500 is 23.8, which is 44.4% above its long-term average of 16.5″. MSwealth-allocations-06-12-13 A useful report here from CS wealth. They remain bullish equities and make some equity picks here in...