Alert – Coronavirus ncov 19 Update – 26th Feb 2020
by on Feb 26, 2020 •I hope some of you have been following my twiter feed. If so you will get an strong indication of the issues at hand. Technical analysis is a useful tool but sometimes events over take the tech. And this is one of those situations i’m afraid. Let me be clear here. This is the first...
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Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top Confirmed” – 28th Jan20
by on Jan 28, 2020 •Guys, i post below a quick tactical update here given the step change in volatility from the recent market movements. US Risk SP500 and Technology have both over shot and reached record overbought territory on their weekly and daily time frames. With sentiment at contrarian levels and the SP500 reaching 3350, risk markets have moved...
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The Secular Bull “Final Push” – Year Ahead Technical Analysis 12th Jan 2020 (Part1)
by on Jan 12, 2020 •Happy new year to you all, 2019 was a complicated though blisteringly high return year for most market indexes and thankfully my own book of assets. It was a very selective year though with 5 mega cap stocks in the US making much of the index gains. It was another year where the base cyclical...
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Technical Analysis – SP500 Rotating Higher, Asia EM Breaking Out 5th Nov19
by on Nov 5, 2019 •Its been a while since i updated here. The wave C in risk off that was forecast by the Swiss team just didn’t materialize. The technical setup was clear with multiple death crosses and the exploding challenges in the repo market along side many key markets weakening considerably or slipping into a technical recession inc...
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Technical Analysis Update – “All Eyes On Rates” 17th June19
by on Jun 17, 2019 •Its been a month since the last update but really major equity prices are barely any different. What has changed are rates at the ten year, the yield curve inversion and the price of precious metals which are at close to 5 yr highs. Lets skip to the guy’s views. Summary, the May price bottom...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Weak US Breadth, Asia EM Breakdown – 2nd May19
by on May 2, 2019 •Guys apologies for the delay in posting, Here the latest summary from yesterday. Thanks for the continued support.. US Risk: Since end Feb, there has been increasing selectivity in the US market but where an intact sector rotation and technology mega cap out performance has, so far, prevented a bigger pullback in the SP500. After...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Weakness” 25th March19
by on Mar 26, 2019 •Apologies for the delay in posting this. This is last week’s update but the analysis is sound and I will update in the next 48hrs with the latest print. US Risk: After the early March risk pullback, following the tactical pattern, where into option expiration you often see the market holding up its 30 to...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 End March Near Term Weakness” 13th March19
by on Mar 13, 2019 •Good evening gents, It gives me great pleasure to bring you the latest update which to recap is an amalgamation of the traditional reports we used to run in their raw format re-rewitten by yours truly to comply with mifi2 regs. Ideas are not copy write, yet. Lets start with US Risk: The rebound in...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Negative Divergences, SSE Volume Spike – 01 March19
by on Mar 1, 2019 •Evening guys, For those that have sold, gone short or hedged this rally its been a patient trade for the last few weeks during which many indicators have been showing impending weakness but price has kept drifting high in this bear squeeze with an absence of any contrarian sentiment top in place. US Risk: This...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Extending Corrective Bounce” 06th Feb 2019
by on Feb 6, 2019 •I will update with this week tech report more fully as of Friday but for now a brief summary of where we are as i see it. First up – The lead US equity risk mkts – The Sp500 target of 2718 has clearly come into play as this corrective bounce plays out. Momentum is...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Mkt Overbought, Bullish Reversal Gold” 12th Oct17
by on Oct 12, 2017 •Its been a good week for the reflation trade with Tips achieving a good bounce and the metals once again achieving a high momentum scores. Copper leading the charge of the metals and platinum lagging. The recent Dollar weakness supportive of course. US equities have seen a sustained bid with many cyclical sectors/indexes overbought on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17
by on Oct 5, 2017 •With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...