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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Gold Surprising To Upside, Even Structurally” 27th Jan15
by on Jan 28, 2015 •Another week of volatility sustains. It was a historic week for news flow as the ECB finally pressed the OMT button. Not a collective quantitative OMT action but performed via the NCBs (National Central Banks). If the devil is in the detail of these sort of policy announcements this was the certainly the detail. In...
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Technical FX Update – “Beware the Euro Bounce” 23rd Jan14
by on Jan 23, 2015 •Its been a blisteringly positive start to the year if you were short euros and long assets. Volatility remains at very elevated levels and trends are long with very few corrections across asset markets. Leverage remains at record levels and many instrument trade levels are at record level extremes. Ie long US$ positions. None of...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Distribution Above 1972” 21st Jan15
by on Jan 21, 2015 •Its been an extremely busy start to the year with volatility staying high across most asset classes. FX and the PMs have stepped up a gear. The US$ bull market has been truly impressive. As impressive as the euro’s bear market. The SNB’s decision has thrown risk management into total confusion as historic volatility in...
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Weekly Technical Analysis Update v2 – 13th Jan15
by on Jan 13, 2015 •Its that time of the week again. We had a high momentum, reasonable volume given a normally quiet period, sell off for equities from trading day 1 2015. The technical issues are well flagged but price pattern wise having achieved a very recent higher high on many of the major indexes and sector indexes the...
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Interim Boxing Day Technical Release – “Year Of The Sheep” 26th Dec14
by on Dec 26, 2014 • Its Boxing day so i’m not providing a full release here for a few days yet. I will release a 2014 retrospect and look ahead to 2015 pre the calender end of year but let me enjoy this holiday for a few more days guys. Having said the above, I appreciate that it is...
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Weekly Technical Update – “SP500 1981 to 1950″ Before Dec Bounce” 17th Dec14
by on Dec 17, 2014 •Apologies i’ve been traveling over the last few days again making yesterday’s update and comments impossible to achieve. Here are the latest tech reports. Ill be back with comments tomorrow. Here the Swiss team’s latest release. wklytech-16-12-14 And here BreamC: bc-tech-16-12-14 And here the GS Tech: gs-tech-16-12-14 And here the cs charts: cs-techcharts-13-12-14 And here...
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Technical & Macro Report Updates – 4th Dec14
by on Dec 4, 2014 •Here some reports missed from the last update. I’m going to treat this update as a release point for many reports over this weekend so do please check back here over the coming days. I’ll be releasing many 2015 views as well here. Firstly Fitzpatrick at CB (which i’ll update with his new report tomorrow...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Limited Further Upside” 25th November14
by on Nov 26, 2014 •The time of the week for a major release and tech update. This bull market is stronger that many would have ever imagined. Monetary induced or a real recovery no matter. We are paid on price and price is moving relentlessly higher. Cash as an asset class remains very undesirable and therefore all asset markets...
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Sunday Marco Update – 16th November14
by on Nov 16, 2014 •I will update this I promise later today. But here a preview in case you are also working this Sunday. To recap multi decade themes, our problems in our fiat US$ system are about debt and sustaining the exponential ms expansion. Its correct therefore that credit markets should continue to be a lead on what...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Topping, US$ Wave5 Complete, Gold Rallying” 11th Nov14
by on Nov 12, 2014 •Its Tuesday evening so time to review where we are here across the international asset markets. The recovery in stock prices has been near vertical. Momentum is finally fading and breadth on each new high is producing divergences on the near term. Sentiment via AAII as well as the put call ratios suggests extreme bullishness...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Over Bought Extremes, Early November Top, Take Profits” 04th Nov14
by on Nov 4, 2014 •The Swiss team are back and below please find their latest technical analysis comments on world markets. Its the usual excellent report. I would only want to add the strength of the breadth issue to build on the case for a confusing new December high in some US indexes and sectors, Nasdaq included! The recent...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Near Term Overbought” 29th Oct14
by on Oct 30, 2014 •We have a cut down technical update this week due to the Swiss team and AG traveling. Equities have bounced further and faster than many predicted with the sp500 having over achieved sp500 1985 yesterday) the Swiss team’s target of 1950. Sector wise technology and biotech are leading the charge with the biotechs scoring a...