by
prestonni
on
Feb 20, 2014 •
A few back reports from a few days ago that I wanted to post up prior to posting their latest in the next 48hrs. Here SC private bank with their “MM” view. Its fairly bullish stuff which is the consensus view of course. A general comment would be its a very middle of the road...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 18, 2014 •
A considered and therefore excellent report from the Swiss team. Lets get to the detail. Cyclical model wise and strategically speaking therefore they are sticking to their model for a deeper h2 continuation of the equity bull market building to an important top for equity indexes, SP500 1920 to 1970. (These are bullish levels but...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 16, 2014 •
Here an excellent report from the global BarCap Commodities team. They cover the major commodities markets from a fundamental and technical indicator correlative basis. Their comments on the copper market goes some way to explain the divergence we see between prices for copper related equity themes and the underlying. Its worth just explaining/unpicking this linkage...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 14, 2014 •
Here below please find the latest reports from the major institutions. As usual many more to come. The rebound from the lows of the recent correction have produced some big bounce backs in many equity indexes. The divergence in performance is worthy of comment. In the winner’s circle, China’s Shanghai index has risen nearly 15%...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 9, 2014 •
Latest update on reports. Here Commerz bank with their technical strategy and trade levels below. Of all the charts, one of the most notable to me is the eurusd implied volatility chart. Volatility has halved in the last 18 months or so. This is interesting for financial speculators as low volatility in potentially explosive instruments...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 5, 2014 •
Here again below the latest report from Citi’s technical analysis guru, namely Tom Fitzpatrick. His report is signposted as an FX report but it has become something more like a multi asset technical report. I present it such and cross analyze it as such as well. I was going to present his report alongside...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 4, 2014 •
Its that the time of the week again for the Swiss team’s technical analysis of the major asset markets. To summarize. They believe a near term low is close though likely later this week or early next. They have been surprised by the extent of EM weakness but insist this is likely to be a...
by
prestonni
on
Feb 2, 2014 •
Firstly, a quick “capsyn” perspective and comment on the recent ‘sell off’. The S&P 500 is now 3% below her all-time high. Last week’s movements appeared volatile but they are merely volatile relative to recent past. The ‘correction’ is severe therefore only when viewed as a part of this late-stage parabolic advance. I remind that...
by
prestonni
on
Jan 31, 2014 •
Here the latest equity picks from the BarCap equity team. There is lack of technical analysis charts to support their recommendations here. But to pick one stock out Lloyds I agree the stock should do well given the UK mini boom underway. They have a large consumer loan book and the UK consumer is looking...
by
prestonni
on
Jan 30, 2014 •
Its the time of year when the hedge fund issue their q4 letter to shareholders. Two of the most consistently high achieving hedge funds over the last decade have been Green Light Capital and Third Point achieving an average annual return of over 19% over the last decade. What I like about both these hedge...
by
prestonni
on
Jan 27, 2014 •
Here a couple of reports from CS that i missed from the release yesterday. Firstly the superb Chart pack “Macro Pulse” report from the CS team. Its from mid last week but don’t let that stop you from digesting the report. There are so many charts to pull out here but one i saved was...
by
prestonni
on
Jan 26, 2014 •
Tom Fitzpatrick is the technical analysis guru at Citi. He is widely known and quoted. He presents a strong US$ strengthening theme and concern that US equities are over valued. Here a couple of his most recent reports. Fitzpatrick has turned bullish on gold and forecasts $3000 to $3500 an ounce for 2014. I arrived...