Commodity Outlooks SC,ANZ,D,MG,JLT – 2014
by on Jan 5, 2014 •Its been a wonderful holiday season but its time again to get back down to work. As the first post for 2014 lets start with the great under performer of the last few years. Namely commodities! SC-Commodites-2014 ANZ-Commoditiesoutlook14 D-miningoutlook14 Mcguarie-agri-outlook14 LBMA-Outlook14 And here some geopolitical outlook for 2014 which, depending on what occurs, can affect...
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“The New Great Game” Thunder Road Dec2013
by on Dec 30, 2013 •I very pleased to bring you the latest, hugely insightful, multi market macro report, namely, the Thunder Road Report. During this festive holiday period its a perfect time for some reflection on the macro and how this feed into our macro and micro allocations for the coming year. A very timely release therefore. Thunder Road’s...
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2014 Outlooks – CS, SC, ML..
by on Dec 29, 2013 •Macro wise, very high correlation in allocations and perspectives across the majors which represents a high risk to asset markets. If we do hit unexpected problems, volatility could spike up in 2014 due to this herding phenomena, be warned. There is little or no downside risks priced into this market on a macro level. CS-GlobalEquity-2014...
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“Deleveraging? CapSyn Outlook & “MM” Weekly Reports – 21st Dec13
by on Dec 29, 2013 •Here below some final 2013 weekly reports from the majors sticking to the themes we have seen before. Inevitably they are forward looking into 2014. Its clear on a macro market level (ie on major themes) the institutional teams are uniformly sticking to the over weight equities and under weight bonds but long junk. Under...
Commodity Outlook – ML,Commerz, 19Dec13
by on Dec 19, 2013 •Here a few of the latest commodity related reports. ML-commodities-dec13 commerz-commoditytech-17-12-13 BullionWeeklyTechnicals17122013(1) Comments to follow. Cheers Rich
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JP “MM” Mnthly Reports – & MS 2014 Outlook Dec13
by on Dec 19, 2013 •Here some very recent monthly wealth allocation type reports. JP-MMstrat-mnthly-dec13 jp-longtermstrat-17dec13 JP-allocations-mnthly-dec13 And here the ms “mm” 2014 forecast doc. ms-fc2014 All the best Rich
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Economic & Fixed Income Analysis Inc Country Focus – ML,Danske,BNP,CS,WF,JP – Dec13
by on Dec 19, 2013 •At present i post up these numerous economic and country focused reports without any commentary. The holiday seasons is a time for reflection and analysis of this data so lets come back and comment more meaningfully on some of the major macro themes behind and in front of us over the holiday period. Here some...
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Weekly “MM” Reports – Barcap,MS,CS,DanskeB 13 Dec13
by on Dec 16, 2013 •Here below some of the latest multi market “mm” reports issued late last week and some from close of business Friday. barcap-mmwklytech-12-12-13 cs-macrostrat-11-12-13 CSwealth-mmwkly-13-12-13 cs-wklymm-11-12-13 CS-mmwkly-13-12-13 Danske-mmwkly-13-12-13 MSwealth-dec13 I stated last week that i would be more bearish than i am at present in terms of allocations and weightings if it wasn’t for the positive...
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JP-Equity, FX & Fixed Income 2014
by on Dec 14, 2013 •Here three outstanding reports from JP running the continued theme of forward looking 2014 view.No tech in specifically but don’t let that stop you from reading these two from the UK teams first and the third from the US equities team, which is a bit more of a cheer leading review, i believe. Both these...
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Multi Markets “MM” Weekly – SC,CB,GS,BarCap,CS, (9-13Dec13)
by on Dec 11, 2013 •A host of weekly “MM” reports from the major institution’s wealth and private banking teams. There is much to add comment to these reports but under immense time pressure as we build to year end here. citi-wealth-mmwkly-09-12-13 Barcap-wklymm-06-12-13 cswealth-wklymkts-06-12-13 GS-WklyMkts SC-wklymkt-07-12-13 FX and Equity to follow shortly. Luck to all Rich
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DB – 2014 Multi Mkt & Focus Credit Forecasts
by on Dec 11, 2013 •The 2014 forecasts are starting to come thick and fast from the majors. Many more inc comments and Capsyn 2014 view to follow soon. Multi mkts db-2014 & DB 2014 with a special focus on credit markets.Note 2014 is likely to provide some credit volatility if and when the Fed finally taper. db-credit2014 The price...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 1850 Remains The Target” 10th Dec13
by on Dec 10, 2013 •Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s run through. The headline is they maintain that any near term weakness is corrective in nature and part of a year end push higher. This report is a bit thinner than usual but this fits with the theme of being patient for our year...