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Commodities & Fixed Income – CS,BarCap,GS,CB – 8th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •Here some commodity and fixed income related reports. Watch both markets very carefully here. The UST is back over 2.8% at 2.86%. She is reaching a danger threshold area feeding into US mortgage rates etc. The spread to junk is at extremes. The text book case is that rates rising are usually correlated to cyclical...
Weekly Economic Roundup – DanskeB,AIB,CS,ML,WF 06th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •The summary from these ten reports below: Increased spending achieved via growth in consumer credit and reduced savings as income declines in real terms. Weak economic growth and from the jobs data lots of part time low skilled service jobs being created. Non standard monetary measures are working in that they are helping to sustain...
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Allocations, Tech & Strat – CS Wealth, MS Wealth & ML – 06th Dec13
by on Dec 8, 2013 •To start off with a great report here from MS wealth re macro and mkt comments feeding into their allocation models. Note “S&P 500 is 23.8, which is 44.4% above its long-term average of 16.5″. MSwealth-allocations-06-12-13 A useful report here from CS wealth. They remain bullish equities and make some equity picks here in...
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Multi Mkt Monthly & Wkly – CS,D,UB,Commerz – 04th Dec13
by on Dec 5, 2013 •Its the start of the final month of the calendar year so here some of the latest institutional multi mkt considerations and YE strat. CS-WealthMnthly-Dec14 CS-WealthWkly-03-12-13 DanskeB-Macrowkly-01-12-13 UBSWealth-Dec14 commerz-stratwkly-04-12-13 A flash comment for my own book. I’m looking for a bottom in the cyclical sectors and indexes here. The IBEX has bounced in the last...
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FX Technical Blitz (DB,CS,JP,JS,DanskeB) – 04th Dec13
by on Dec 5, 2013 •My desk is swamped with reports so better I post them up than delay before having time to make comments. I’m afraid i’m under immense time pressure at present. I hope to make some more meaningful comments on the forum pages. CS-FXstrat-04-12-13 CS-FXtech-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX-IMM-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX2014 JP-FX-Strat-03-12-13 MS-FXWkly-29-11-13 DB-FX–03-12-13 US$ strength is the renewed theme, it...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Pullback to 1780 before 1850 end Dec”
by on Dec 3, 2013 •Ok its that time of the week again for the award winning Swiss team’s usual run through of the global asset markets. Really this should be read alongside the comprehensive Sunday technical update. Ive little more to add other than picking up the Swiss team’s comments re the market internal sector issues. We picked up...
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FX Pairs – Technical Analysis & 2014 Forecasts Citi,JP,SC,DB,CS – 02nd Dec13
by on Dec 3, 2013 •Here a raft of technical comments and charts on the major fx pairs from the large institutional trading teams. To start off here the usual SC Private Banking team’s weekly analysis SC-FXwkly-02-12-13 And here another excellent weekly view from the Citi fx team Citi-Wklyfx-02-12-13 Commerz here on the weekly em fx pairs. Commerz-emwkly-02-12-13 Here an...
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Equity Markets Technical Analysis – Capsyn,Yardeni,BarCap – 01 Dec13
by on Dec 1, 2013 •December is usually an excellent month for equities. Its often called a window dressing month securing the year end bonuses for the staff within the financial services industry. This year very few indeed are on the short side here so we must assume there are very few that want lower equities to record lower year...
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BarCap,CS,Commerz,UBP,SEB – Global Mkt Strats – 30th Nov13
by on Nov 30, 2013 •A mix of reports covering a wide variety of global asset markets. First up some great tech charts from CS and then Commerz, here: cs-charts-21-11-13 Commerz-TechCharts-28-11-13 Here below the Barcap team covering global macro strat BARCAP-globalmacrostrat-27-11-13 Here a nice SEB report SEB-EquityIndextech-28-11-13 And finally here the UBP wealth allocations UBP-assetstrat-nov13 Happy, productive reading and consideration...
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JP-Equity Strat & Recommendations – 29th Nov13
by on Nov 30, 2013 •The usual excellent weekly US equity report from JP with their picks and forecasts. I have a huge back log of reports to get through here so ill save the comment to a little later in the day. Without the delay here the report: JP-Equity-28-11-13 Many more updates to come throughout the weekend. All the...
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DB,JP,SC,Nodea – FX Technical & Economic Analysis – 26th Nov13
by on Nov 27, 2013 •A raft of reports inc the usual SC run through. Discussion and allocation updates on the forum pages as usual. Here SC SC-FX-26-11-13 Here A superb Nordea comprehensive view Nordea-fx-26-11-13 Pure FX techs from JP & DB here: DB-FX-26-11-13 JP-FXStrat-26-11-13 Rich
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Dec Overshoot Target S&P500 1850, Dax 9700.” 26th Nov13
by on Nov 26, 2013 •Here below the latest Swiss team’s technical weekly multi market comments and analysis. The price trend work remains intact as does sentiment and sectoral work with the finance sector finally joining the break out sectors. Europe, major index wise, the Dax remains bullish (as does the ftse100) but the IBEX is theoretically the beta especially...