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SC & CAN Global Mkts Strat Monthly – Dec13
by on Nov 25, 2013 •Couple of great monthly reports from SC and CAN. The SC report multi mkt and dealing with some leading tech indicators. SC remains fairly bullish on an extension of this rally, subject to any small 5% correction. Global economic review from CAN. Pretty optimistic and for strengthening growth for 2014 and 2015. We must recall...
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CS Wealth & JP Equity – 22nd Nov13
by on Nov 24, 2013 •A couple of excellent CS Wealth reports. First up macro markets, stock picks and commodity comments CS-wklywealth-22-11-13 And here some specific technical comment and indicators. Even CS are picking up the sentiment issues here. CS-WealthAllocations-20-11-13 And here the usual outstanding JP Equity report inc technical indicators and stock picks etc. They remain uber bullish into...
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CS,DB,WF-MacroEcon-22-11-13
by on Nov 24, 2013 •A host of macro economically focused reports. Only the projections remain optimistic. All the near term data uniformly continues to disappoint, like earnings. Here the CS team taking a quick run through of the most recent global data points. CS-Macroecon-22-11-13 Here Australian team from DB reviewing and making some forecasts of the econ data. Their...
US Mkt Technical Analysis – Volatility, Mkt Internals, Sentiment, Price, LEIs, etc..
by on Nov 22, 2013 •A US centric report, inc everything in terms of tech analysis, but a decent analysis of market breadth. For this a ‘Capsyn’ proprietary report over the weekend. I’ll leave the detail to the report but its hard not to take a bearish take from the various technical indicators. Price work and market internal sector work...
Nomura-FXTech EURUSD,USDJPY 21st Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A very quick and brief couple of fx tech updates from the guys at Nomura. Both trades are very important to asset markets for obvious correlation reasons. Here the eurusd, the major component of the DX (dollar basket). nomura-eurusd-21-11-13 And here usdjpy Nomura-usdjpy-21-11-13 I’m biased long US$ vs the euro for now but its a...
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CS,Commerz – Mkt Strat & European PMI – 19th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A few wider multi market macro reports from Commerz and CS. Commerz-Mktstrat-19-11-13 And CS here CS-Macroecon-18-11-13 And some news just off the wires re the latest European PMIs. “An index based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry rose to a 29-month high of 51.5 from 51.3 in October”. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-21/euro-area-manufacturing-expands-for-a-fifth-month-led-by-germany.html Presented as...
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BarCap Equity Strat & Picks – 18th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A couple of very useful weekly BarCap equity strat reports containing their equity recommendations and forecasts. I hope to make these regulars Barcap-equity2-11-11-13 barcap-equity-18-11-13 And here their monthly equity markets report with some good macro and sector internal work. Barcap-macroequity-17-11-13 As i’m in a positional equity trade on the IBEX market here CS on the...
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MS & SC Weekly FX Reports – 15th & 19 Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here below the respective in house positions of MS and SC. MS making the US$ case correlating the strength to the deflationary backdrop. (Which is usually a dangerous cocktail for risk). Report here MS-WklyFX-15-11-13 Here SC retaining a ‘structurally bullish” position on the US and bullish the GBP vs US$ due to the positive “technicals...
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CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal...
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Global Macro Monthly & Weekly Economic Reviews & Forecasts – WF,CS,BarCap,Scan
by on Nov 18, 2013 •There is a lot of reading. Its for those with a bias to the fundamental data. The data remains soft or weak recovery, at best. And as WF perfectly asks, “Five Years, Three QEs and $3.5 Trillion Later, Where’s the Inflation?” And consider this. In previous nominal bull markets usually occur alongside some rise inflation...
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JP Weekly Equity Update – “S&P500 YE Target 1825”
by on Nov 17, 2013 •I hope all had a good weekend. I apologize but we had a big electrical lightening storm here which wiped out the power for around 12 hours earlier today hence the delay in posting these new reports. Here below the weekly equity report from JPM. Its an excellent report. The sectoral analysis is on the...
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MS Wealth – Macro Mkts Nov & CS “Core Strat 12th Nov13
by on Nov 15, 2013 •Here a couple of “best practice” macro multi market reports containing a mix of fundamental and tech. Pulling all the various themes together. First, the MS Wealth report. A walk through of the major issues and they include an interview with Jim Rogers, who is always worth listening to from a longer term macro. Here...