WF Wkly & Monthly Eonomic Roundups – “Weak Improvement Continues” – 01st Nov13
by on Nov 3, 2013 •Here a round up of the latest WF reports. We start with the usual weekly roundup. WF-WeeklyEconomicFinancialCommentary_01-11-13 This week’s view of the ISM manufacturing data. WF-ISM Manufacturing-01-11-13 And here the latest housing monthly report. WF-UShousingmonthly-01-11-13 Here an outstanding report from the team which needs some digestion and comment! WF-USManufacturing&Credt-01-11-13 And here finally another good report...
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CS Wealth – Monthly Global Strategy – November13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Good report here from CS Wealth. No surprise to hear some participants calling the bottom in 2009 the start of a new secular bull market for equities! When more participants start making this call it will certainly be a good contrarian indicator. Its a consensus view with calls for more compression on high yield, out...
WF – Fundamental Review – PPI, ConConf, CPI & IP – 29th Oct13 – “Could We Be Wrong?”
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Ahead of the announcement by the FED. There is a lot of market comment from industry gurus e.g. the comments from Blackrock’s CEO and PIMCO’s CEO advocating an immediate FED taper. Here below I strongly suggest there will be no Fed taper forthcoming as the data is in fact moving in other direction. We have...
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NordeaB FX Strat – 29th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Here Nordea with a well reasoned more fundamental based report inc some price work. Its not a bad read and some they pick up nicely on the macro issues surrounding the NOK. Here: Nordea-fxwklystrat-29-10-13
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BarCap-Global Instruments Technicals & Oil Supply Issues – 28th Oct13
by on Oct 30, 2013 •Here a nice traditional price technical round up by the tech team at BarCap. Barcap-wklyglobaltech-28-10-13 To counter the above tech bearish view on WTI, post the likely near term bounce, here a Barcap, more bullish, fundamental perspective re the troubles in supply from Libya and Iraq, released yesterday. barcap-oil-fundamentals-28-10-13 Last week, sector wise the European...
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SC – Global Macro Strat Monthly – Nov2013
by on Oct 29, 2013 •An excellent report. No time to comment on it but a nice walk through this by the private banking team in SC. SC-MonthlyGlobalMarkets-Nov13 Rich
CommerzB & WF – Week in Focus – 25th Oct13
by on Oct 27, 2013 •Here the Commerz economic team for the week ahead. Commerz-weeklyecon-25-10-13 And WF, review of the key data and a look ahead WeeklyEconomicFinancialCommentary_10252013 Rich
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CS – Fixed Income Strat – 25th Oct 13
by on Oct 27, 2013 •CS team reviewing the price moves and adjusting their forecasts for credit rates across the major markets. We have stepped back from the brink of higher rates recently. US Junk has scored a higher high and higher lows and is close to record low spreads to the UST10yr. For how long these warm tail winds...
A Historic Reminder – Wehrmacht Inflation
by on Oct 24, 2013 •The post 2008 credit crisis has provided a golden 5 year period for asset holders. Fiscal deficits and central banks liquidity injections have expanded money supply without enabling inflation as money velocity has collapsed and the banking sector have retained excess reserves on their balance sheets. Many stocks have risen 300 to 500% in the...
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HSBC-Weekly – FX-Strat – 22nd Oct13
by on Oct 23, 2013 •No focus on price by the team here. A mix of other tech indicators and fundamental comments which is actually quite refreshing and useful working alongside the price tech work of the other teams. The eurusd strength is a head wind the euro area cannot with stand. The team using it as a signal that...
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Hedge Fund Watch – Greenlight “Letter to Shareholders” Oct15 & Hinde Capital “Bullion Miners Focus” 16th Oct 13
by on Oct 22, 2013 •Here a couple of reports from the two widely respected, though very different, hedge funds. Greenlight Capital’s performance record, over the last decade or so, puts her in the upper quartile of the upper quartile. David Einhorn its ceo updates on views, performance and allocations. Greenlight-Q3-2013 Hinde Capital are the specialist bullion focused hedge fund....
CS-MarcoStrat 21st Oct13
by on Oct 21, 2013 •A nice roundup just released from the Swiss team. CS-MarcoStrat-21-10-13 Rich