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Weekly Macro,Commodity & Econ Focus inc Japan & UK (CS, Epstein, WF, JP, etc)
by on Oct 6, 2013 •As a general comment, the main US equity market indexes appear to be in a giant distribution since May. Higher highs have been achieved but at the cost of weaker and weaker technicals. Its not a hugely positive market in spite of higher prices being achieved. Europe has more momentum and price support for the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Toppish & Europe Trading in Wave 5”
by on Sep 18, 2013 •The Swiss team’s report listed below. World markets are continuing to show remarkable resilience in spite of all the indicators pointing to likely price weakness and even a correction. The team have pushed out their deeper correction timeline to Q1 2014 now given the likely higher high by the s&p500. Near term, they are now...
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Weekly FX & Bullion Technical Analysis & Macro Comments – “US$ Strength & Rates Rise”
by on Sep 5, 2013 •September is usually associated with providing direction in the markets after the long summer months of chop and churn which is designed to confuse participants on where next. The macro theme since May of this year has been rising rates globally albeit from super low historic levels. Rates have risen quickly with today seeing the...
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Weekly FX Technical Analysis & Macro Comments.. “US$ Bouncing Off Key Levels”
by on Sep 2, 2013 •We have labor day holidays across US markets today which marks the official ending of the usual summer malaise in market volume. Sept is seasonally a volatile month and more often than not to the downside. Having said that August was a bad month for bond prices as rates marched higher across sovereign and consumer...
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Weekly FX Technical Analysis, Macro Comments & Bullion Technicals
by on Aug 23, 2013 •There is one story dominating everything at present namely: To taper or not to taper? I’m very tempted to think this is a premature question as the FED is currently monetizing 85bn of securities a month and simply a taper of 25bn or less aimed at the short end of the yield curve could be...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Top in Place, Over sold on the Near Term”
by on Aug 20, 2013 •Its that time of week again for a barrage of technical market reports and comments. First up here the weekly market comments from SC: SC-WklyMkt-View-16-August-2013 Over weight US equities and European equities and US$ high yield.They repeat their rational which is leaves the door open for a continuation of near term technical weakness. “Recent earnings...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Still Holding 1685”
by on Aug 14, 2013 • The swiss team’s latest report is below. There is some caution in their latest report. They have opened the door to adjusting their model dependent on potentially “game changing moves” in the metals to Europe. To my mind this is all part of the summer heat. Summer trading days are there to confuse the...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Moving to an Important Medium-Term Top, Cycles Imply a Top This Week”
by on Jul 23, 2013 •The Swiss team’s latest report below. They retain their bearish call on equities and significantly call for a top in cyclical stocks and a re-rotation back into the defensive issues. Their words, also mine on the forum pages: “Make or Break Setup in US Cyclical Performance” This issue cuts to the core of the sustainability...
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Week Ahead Tech Comments – “Bullish Bullion, Bearish GBP”
by on Jul 15, 2013 •A new trading week awaits us with some key equity index levels as well as fx levels fast approaching. First up a very useful report from citi. They are bullish for this week on the bullion, WTI, and bearish the GBP. On WTI if price breaks the 110 level 145 will come into play. This...
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Sunday Reflection & Analysis Of The Near Term Equity Bear Technical Case..
by on Jun 2, 2013 •Hey Guys, I trust you are all having a hugely productive and or relaxing Sunday. Volatility has been stepping up across asset markets in the last few weeks. From fixed income to equities to commodities volatility is increasing here so its correct to take a step back and double check where we are. Its the...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Materials Breakout & Buy Bullion in next 5 to 10 Trading Sessions”
by on May 22, 2013 •The Swiss team have re-grouped and come back fighting. They didn’t get the pull back their models suggested. It has taken a month or so for them to really digest/accept this and re-set. We all learn by the rod here that you can’t get stubborn on these things. We are all paid on price and...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “5% to 8% correction into June/July but a change to our cyclical road map”
by on May 14, 2013 •We have for several weeks discussed, on the forum pages as well as editor comments, that the technical report produced by our Swiss colleagues had got their near term calls wrong. That, instead, the US equity markets displayed more technical strength than they had accounted for but this didn’t sit neatly with their cyclical model. ...