WF Securities 2013 Fundamental Economic Forecast – “The New Normal”
by on Dec 14, 2012 •Wells provide us the first 2013 fundamental projection report. Many more will follow of course and I’ll try and post up as many of these as I can to see what themes emerge. The Wells report is a US centric report, to my mind. I pick this single chart out from the report. This is...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Capped Near Term 1430 to 1440, Shanghai Based & Watch Silver”
by on Dec 11, 2012 •Another great macro technical report from the Swiss team. There is a lot of detail in the report from regional index comment to sector comment to commodity comments. Its a full report which i find hard to disagree with. The cyclical story is unfolding. Fundamentally it remains unproven for the moment but technically there is...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Market Roundup – “Over Weight High Yield Equities, Under Weight Cash”
by on Dec 10, 2012 •SC stick to the same themes they have held for the last year now. Namely over weight high yield equities and FI and under weight cash, money market funds. They like oil and gold for the geo political hedges they provide. I also include their fx round up and forward looking which is released today....
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Market Roundup – “US Equities Vulnerable Short Term But Weakness An Opportunity To Average In”
by on Nov 9, 2012 •SC sticking to their defensive yielding blue chip equities theme. Buy the dips is their view with 1370 and 1345 buying zones in their opinion. Fund flows to fixed income and money market funds as well as the level of bearishness in the market leads me to mirror their view at present. I’m out of...
Commodities / Economics / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Short Term Bearish, Medium Term Bearish”
by on Nov 8, 2012 •I’d like them to explain themselves a little more than they have done in the past but we have to hand it to the German team they have “nailed” the bullion weakness in recent months. Only the false break to the upside made the question their call and this questioning lasted only a week or...
Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Market Roundup – “Weakness is Likely To Prove Temporary”
by on Nov 2, 2012 •The SC team once again producing a wide ranging report and a more bearish tone, short term, than the UBS technical report. SC are sticking to their defensive themes and are expecting a deeper pull back post the US elections to sp500 1345. This would take price below her 200 d.ma. and would infer a...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Buy The Dips on Cyclical Themes”
by on Oct 30, 2012 •Another strong (and bullish) report from the Swiss team. I’ll leave the detail to you. Report below. Regarding my own book, I expected the cyclical stocks to be in the front line of the recent correction but this is not what has occurred. Cyclical themes usually provide a beta to the overall market both up...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Market Roundup – “Short Term Risks Of Mild Correction”
by on Oct 15, 2012 •Apologies for the delay in posting up Standard’s report. The SC team have become shorter term bearish it seems but medium and longer term remain committed to their long defensive equities, gold and oil position. If the recent weakness breaks the recent up trend they recommend using the weakness to add to positions. I would...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weely Market Roundup – “Don’t Fight The Fed – Short Term “Risk Assets” Overbought”
by on Oct 5, 2012 •An excellent report as usual. Ill leave specific comments for now until i have a little more time but here below the pdf. My brief single comment here, if i may, is that over bough technical indicators can remain over bought for an extended period so whilst i agree I maintain that the next week...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Target S&P500 1520 & Asia in Breakout”
by on Oct 2, 2012 •The Swiss team’s latest report is out. They continue their uber bullish call and expect 1470 to give way soon. There is much detail around instruments and levels to add but I’ll come back to all this later. They are bullish AUD vs the USD but I’m playing the AUD not vs the USD buy...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Roundup – “Clouds on Horizon” But Positive “Structural Drivers Intact”
by on Sep 28, 2012 •SC’s weekly roundup and recommendations below. An excellent report as usual without any major changes to their stance from last week. They sight “many clouds on the horizon” and a short term risk of a correction in asset markets. They would use the opportunity of a decent correction to buy more of their preferred assets...
An Extraordinary Precious Metals Report – “A Government Dominated System, Gold $2000 By Q1 2013”
by on Sep 27, 2012 •Deutsche have released a very lucid and frank report on the global economy, precious metals and new global phenomena of ‘consumerism”. Their findings are unsurprising to the contributors of this website. Of more surprise is the fact that these views are becoming wide spread. Even the most optimistic of investment bank analyst teams is now...