Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Round Up – “Short Term Pull Back But Equity Markets Offer Great Value”
by on Sep 24, 2012 •The weekly SC report wasn’t published last week due to holidays in the team. In stead I post up their monthly report. SC remain bullish on the markets though under weight materials and cyclical stocks in general. They debate the low vix vs the bullish erp reading with the summary being for a short term...
Weekly Bullion Technical & Macro Comments – “1791 to 1803 To Provoke A Sell Off – Medium Term View Neutral”
by on Sep 23, 2012 •The German team are increasingly concerned the recent spike up in gold prices has been over done. Technically the metals are over bought and approaching some key resistance zones. Gold short term could extend to 1791 and even to 1803 but this area should provoke profit taking and short sellers to emerge. Gold is over...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “A Break of 1470 Would Call For 1490”
by on Sep 18, 2012 •The Swiss team are torn between near term mild over bought indicators suggesting some profit taking and the strong bullish internal technicals of increasing new 52 week highs and increasing volumes. Sector wise they are pro cyclical stocks advocating material themes. “We see any near-term weakness only as a temporary pause, so that we would...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Roundup – “Risk On Rally Likely to Continue”
by on Sep 14, 2012 •Another excellent report, in my view, from the guys at SC. Breakouts for the DOW, SP500 & Nas100 is positive US equities. Many emerging market indexes have also bounced up a long way and the Shanghai significantly stepping back from a continuation of breakdown through her support levels producing a possible failed breakdown which always...
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Weekly Roundup – “ECB’s ‘Unlimited Action Changes the Risk Reward Dynamics”
by on Sep 7, 2012 •Ive been following SC’s (high net worth private client) wealth management weekly report for a while. To my mind its been accurate and timely in its recommendations and insights. It nicely brings together the key fundamental and technical strands of world asset markets, monetary and fiscal policy all in one weekly report. The ECB’s unlimited...
Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Below 1623 to 1648 Bearish & Above 1674 Bullish”
by on Aug 15, 2012 •The German team re-affirm their bearish analysis of last week. They remain wedded to the view that gold will see a swift decline by the end of August. A break of the long term uptrend line at 1572 currently must be achieved to provide momentum to the move. They repeat the 1325 target with 1299...
Economic Data Review & Greenlight Capital Q2 Letter
by on Aug 9, 2012 •We remain at the cross roads and to steal the line from UBS a “make or break” moment in world asset markets. So lets use the time to reconsider where we are fundamentally here. In my view the fundamentals are finally in line with the techncials albeut at a higher nominal level than i would...
No Comment – Chart of the Week (& Reports)
by on Jul 20, 2012 •P.S. A useful set of economic charts care of WF: WF-GlobalChartbook-july12 P.P.S. And something a little ‘special’ for you all came across my desk a few days ago. Along the lines of “if you cant beat join them” me thinks. ROTH-Q312
Weekly Economic Indicator Review..
by on Jun 23, 2012 •Here the regular weekly economic indicator report by WF. WFWeeklyEconomicCommentary-220612 And something below, i found of interest.. student loan data. By hook or by crook money supply must grow in a fiat money system.And note this is now a world wide developed world trend. That is, health, education, heating, water costs that were traditionally...
Market Musings – Inflection Point For Risk On/Risk Off
by on Jun 5, 2012 •Ahead of the Swiss team’s technical briefing some of my own thoughts here.. We are in a very difficult area of the trading chart here. Technically we remain massively oversold but with the bounces being very poorly supported long attempts have been beaten back and you are lucky to score positively on playing the “bounce”. ...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “5 to 10 Session Bounce A Selling Opportunity”
by on May 22, 2012 •The Swiss team confirm the near term capitulation that we saw last week. They expect a bounce here lasting between 5 and 10 sessions. They recommend selling strength with S&P 1250 and even 1210 as cyclical targets. Its hard to disagree with their analysis on this occassion. Greek elections marked for the 17th June and...
The Inflationary Inflection Point Approaches
by on May 18, 2012 •As markets tumble we have to ask the same question we have asked ourselves so many times before. Is the economy, once again, heading into a deflationary de-leveraging spiral? The 10yr T-bond rates would answer this question with a resounding answer – yes! Lipper fund flow data has continued to roll in month after month...