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Technical Analysis Update – “Weak Technical Picture Remains” 21st July15
by on Jul 21, 2015 •Guys Ive just received this and I realize many here are market timing these asset markets on the short term. I post this up in a timely manner here so as to not delay participants getting this perspective. Asset markets are getting interesting here is my immediate comment. I have a great deal of reports...
Technical Analysis Update – “SPX July Strength, Selling Opportunity” 15th July15
by on Jul 16, 2015 •This post will be updated tomorrow. I believe the guys are spot on that this there are clear technical signals that this is building into a decent technical correction later in the summer. There fore that this price “bounce” is the perfect long portfolio selling opportunity. Here the Swiss team’s latest report: wklytech-15-7-15# More tomorrow.....
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Interim Technical Update – “Volatility Continues to Rise” 8th July15
by on Jul 8, 2015 •Volatility rising and widening across asset classes internationally now. Its all part of the normal historic trend of rising volatility pre a trend change, imo. I wouldn’t go aggressively short yet but it was correct to move to a high cash level as of a month or so ago. Here a few updates: Firstly GS:...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Summer Top Forming – Key Support 2067/2072” 30th June15
by on Jun 30, 2015 •We are in the final stages of this 6 year bull market. Europe appears to have already set her highs. World indexes also appear to have topped out. The wild card is the US where the Fed continues to talk rising rates and pipeline ever improving data. The US$ is at her supports and on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Bounce” 23rd June15
by on Jun 24, 2015 •Equities are bouncing off some key levels. Europe is seeing high volatility as speculators look to hedge euro weakness and the grexit issue comes and goes. Technically a corrective bounce aside unless we see a reversal in the multi month technicals we should see many indexes fail to achieve higher highs here to confirm a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “2072/2067 Pivotal SP500 Support” 16th June 2015
by on Jun 17, 2015 •Here below the latest update from the Swiss team and others: Wklytech-`6-6-15 And here Fitzpatrick: cb-tech-12-6-15 And here the stock tech analysis care of Ub.. ub-tech2-15-6-15 More to come Rich
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Europe Near Term Low” 09th May15
by on Jun 10, 2015 •The bond markets are continuing to drive this weakness in risk asset markets here. Volatility is rising considerably across bond and equity markets though particularly in non US markets. The Sp500 and other US indexes still show as many technical signs of a continuation as opposed to any trend change move, for now. European markets...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “More Weak Breadth” 4th June 2015 V2
by on Jun 4, 2015 •FX markets are once again the scene of extreme volatility which is feeding negatively into European stock prices. We have many cross winds here from technical non confirmations of the recent highs to currency confusion and increasing bond volatility. Ftse100 has dropped below her multi month uptrend line support which is a bearish and needs...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2160 to 2200” 28th May15
by on May 28, 2015 •Contrary to what many market pundits have been writing this bull market lives on and is moving higher, for now. There are all sorts of technical and fundamental issues with these new highs but we are paid on price and price is showing that another leg albeit on low momentum is in progress here. I...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Divergences Persist On New US Index Highs” V2 20th May15
by on May 20, 2015 •Euro asset markets have bounced off some key technical levels (especially euro equity indexes) which has been important to at least halt this recent weakness. US indexes like the dow and sp500 have made new record highs, albeit with low momentum thus far. Technical issues remain of course like breath divergences as well as lead...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 +2077 Bullish, Europe, Buy the Dip” 05th May15
by on May 6, 2015 •2015 was always going to be a volatile year. US markets have stalled in terms of momentum and selectivity is rising but I agree with the Swiss team that, for now the bull trend is holding and certainly above 2077 sp500 the trend remains our friend and is higher. Europe’s sell off is entering an...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rising Selectivity” 28th April15
by on Apr 29, 2015 •Its been another very busy week of short term currency trading. There has been stellar momentum in FX markets. Positionally its been correct to shift FX book inline with a weakening US$ to provide a warm US$ tailwind to the long book. It was correct to shift out of the US$ cash and only cover...