Alert – Coronavirus ncov 19 Update – 26th Feb 2020
by on Feb 26, 2020 •I hope some of you have been following my twiter feed. If so you will get an strong indication of the issues at hand. Technical analysis is a useful tool but sometimes events over take the tech. And this is one of those situations i’m afraid. Let me be clear here. This is the first...
Technical Analysis – Twitter Feed
by on Feb 24, 2020 •Seems a twitter is probably the right way to handle day to day activity. Markets are heating up so for those that like to be active and want to follow trades on a daily basis please follow the link. https://twitter.com/Capitalsynthes1?s=09 Ill develop a few themes there in real time. One for the moment is the...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / New Asset Advisory / PMs / Technical trading
Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top Confirmed” – 28th Jan20
by on Jan 28, 2020 •Guys, i post below a quick tactical update here given the step change in volatility from the recent market movements. US Risk SP500 and Technology have both over shot and reached record overbought territory on their weekly and daily time frames. With sentiment at contrarian levels and the SP500 reaching 3350, risk markets have moved...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Home / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Technical Analysis – Confirmed, Risk Assets in Wave 3 Breakdown -12th August19
by on Aug 12, 2019 •I hope all are enjoying their summer breaks here. Certainly listed securities of all shapes and sizes are moving here and we see major new trends taking hold and old trends gradually breaking down. For those that have positioned correctly (and incorrectly alike) this is a wealth transformative period. Volatility and directional speed is likely...
Commodities / Companies / crypto / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / New Asset Advisory / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Weakness” 25th March19
by on Mar 26, 2019 •Apologies for the delay in posting this. This is last week’s update but the analysis is sound and I will update in the next 48hrs with the latest print. US Risk: After the early March risk pullback, following the tactical pattern, where into option expiration you often see the market holding up its 30 to...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / New Asset Advisory
Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Negative Divergences, SSE Volume Spike – 01 March19
by on Mar 1, 2019 •Evening guys, For those that have sold, gone short or hedged this rally its been a patient trade for the last few weeks during which many indicators have been showing impending weakness but price has kept drifting high in this bear squeeze with an absence of any contrarian sentiment top in place. US Risk: This...
Commodities / Companies / crypto / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / New Asset Advisory / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Peak, US$ Strengthening” 19th Feb19
by on Feb 19, 2019 •Evening gents and apologies for missing last week’s report point. All assets markets have a positive tail wind here with dovish comments from the several of the major central banks and what appears to be the last gasps of a renewal of the “bad news is good” theme of the last decade. Lead indicators like...
Commodities / Companies / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Extending Corrective Bounce” 06th Feb 2019
by on Feb 6, 2019 •I will update with this week tech report more fully as of Friday but for now a brief summary of where we are as i see it. First up – The lead US equity risk mkts – The Sp500 target of 2718 has clearly come into play as this corrective bounce plays out. Momentum is...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Annual Technical Analysis Forecast Update – “Reflation Cycle End” 26th Jan19
by on Jan 25, 2019 •Guys, I’ll update this in real time through out the weekend but here for starters is the summary of the usual annual technical forecast update, albeit in a new mifi2 compliant ie proprietary format. A small change that I make our Capitalsynthesis a closed group and enrollment is by invitation only or by reference of...
Fortnightly Technical Analysis – “World Equity Divergences At Extremes” 18th Aug18
by on Aug 18, 2018 •We are still in the Summer recess here across world markets but its noteworthy to record the observation that divergence between world equity markets and US equity markets is at an all time extreme standard deviation. This is a trade set up but seldom has the likely technical directional forecast been so clouded as now,...
Fortnightly Technical Analysis – “2700 to 2750 SP500” 18th April 2018
by on Apr 18, 2018 •Risk is bouncing strongly here and particularly so US tech and the mid cap Russel2000. The larger caps (tech aside) are under performing and world indexes are still under performing US indexes over the recent period of weakness. The selectivity is increasing here which is usually a clear indication of weakness inside a rally with...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 & FI Tactical Bounce, Europe Global -Beta” 2nd April18 V2
by on Apr 2, 2018 •Happy Easter guys, 2018 has indeed played out according to the expectation of higher volatility against a back drop of a trend change price distribution and ending of this 8 year bull market for US risk. As we look across US cyclical risk from the sp500 to the Russel2000 to the nas100 its all still...