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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Summer Top Forming – Key Support 2067/2072” 30th June15
by on Jun 30, 2015 •We are in the final stages of this 6 year bull market. Europe appears to have already set her highs. World indexes also appear to have topped out. The wild card is the US where the Fed continues to talk rising rates and pipeline ever improving data. The US$ is at her supports and on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Bounce” 23rd June15
by on Jun 24, 2015 •Equities are bouncing off some key levels. Europe is seeing high volatility as speculators look to hedge euro weakness and the grexit issue comes and goes. Technically a corrective bounce aside unless we see a reversal in the multi month technicals we should see many indexes fail to achieve higher highs here to confirm a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “2072/2067 Pivotal SP500 Support” 16th June 2015
by on Jun 17, 2015 •Here below the latest update from the Swiss team and others: Wklytech-`6-6-15 And here Fitzpatrick: cb-tech-12-6-15 And here the stock tech analysis care of Ub.. ub-tech2-15-6-15 More to come Rich
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Europe Near Term Low” 09th May15
by on Jun 10, 2015 •The bond markets are continuing to drive this weakness in risk asset markets here. Volatility is rising considerably across bond and equity markets though particularly in non US markets. The Sp500 and other US indexes still show as many technical signs of a continuation as opposed to any trend change move, for now. European markets...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “More Weak Breadth” 4th June 2015 V2
by on Jun 4, 2015 •FX markets are once again the scene of extreme volatility which is feeding negatively into European stock prices. We have many cross winds here from technical non confirmations of the recent highs to currency confusion and increasing bond volatility. Ftse100 has dropped below her multi month uptrend line support which is a bearish and needs...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2160 to 2200” 28th May15
by on May 28, 2015 •Contrary to what many market pundits have been writing this bull market lives on and is moving higher, for now. There are all sorts of technical and fundamental issues with these new highs but we are paid on price and price is showing that another leg albeit on low momentum is in progress here. I...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Divergences Persist On New US Index Highs” V2 20th May15
by on May 20, 2015 •Euro asset markets have bounced off some key technical levels (especially euro equity indexes) which has been important to at least halt this recent weakness. US indexes like the dow and sp500 have made new record highs, albeit with low momentum thus far. Technical issues remain of course like breath divergences as well as lead...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2065 & 2125 Key Levels, $ Top Still Ahead” 12th May15 – V2
by on May 12, 2015 •Volatility across asset markets continues to be the theme. The pull back in Europe has been deeper than most anticipated but the structure of the equity bull market remains unchanged, for now. Selectivity is the theme as the tired bull struggles on. The most dramatic change has been on the bond side with is certainly...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 +2077 Bullish, Europe, Buy the Dip” 05th May15
by on May 6, 2015 •2015 was always going to be a volatile year. US markets have stalled in terms of momentum and selectivity is rising but I agree with the Swiss team that, for now the bull trend is holding and certainly above 2077 sp500 the trend remains our friend and is higher. Europe’s sell off is entering an...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rising Selectivity” 28th April15
by on Apr 29, 2015 •Its been another very busy week of short term currency trading. There has been stellar momentum in FX markets. Positionally its been correct to shift FX book inline with a weakening US$ to provide a warm US$ tailwind to the long book. It was correct to shift out of the US$ cash and only cover...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Minor Top, Europe Buy The Dips” 21st April15 V2
by on Apr 22, 2015 •Its time for another technical run through of the major asset markets. We have continued to chop up directionally across all asset classes here from equities to fx. We are looking for direction which is neatly reflected in the latest cftc report. Some profit taking and paring of positions but no trend changes, as yet....
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bull Trend in Equities Remains Intact” 14th April15
by on Apr 15, 2015 •We have seen some “choppy” price action in both equities and FX in the last week or so but the larger trend directions are the prevailing themes for price. Unless there is a serious news development price will travel along the path of least resistance. For equities that means higher prices and for FX the...