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Weekly Tech Trio & Comment – “Continuation, for Now” 1st June14
by on Jun 1, 2014 •First up I wish i could be more certain of near term direction here. Issues such as market breadth are very inconclusive. Lets run through it. The bulls can point to the sp500 and % stocks above their 200 dmas as maintaining a solid bullish continuation of this 6th year of this bull market. Certainly...
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Technical, Macro Cross Asset Market Reports & Comment – 31st May 2014
by on May 31, 2014 •I hope all are having a productive and or relaxing weekend. Personally I’m still playing catch up on cyclical and secular trends across asset markets here, digesting the recent price action and its implications. Lets start with some macro reports here: wf-macrowkly-30-5-14 Here a useful macro equity view fro ML ml-macroequity Here the usual useful...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – 27th May 2014 “Rotation Back into Cyclicals!”
by on May 28, 2014 •2014 has thus far been pretty disappointing if you played for a bullish continuation from 2013. Most sectors and intra indexes have struggled. Following on from the last 2 weeks more positive price action the Dow Jones is back to her 2014 opening price. The Nasdaq, as of yesterday, scrapped just above her 2014 open...
“MM” Update – 23rd May14
by on May 23, 2014 •A quick update of reports. A few key instruments for my focus and book remains. The Euro breakdown vs the GBP producing a final wave lower in her multi year cyclical bear market. The Euro possible breakdown vs the USD. This area of the chart is vital to hold for the euro if her low...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis Update – “Euro A Viable Funding Currency” 22nd May14
by on May 22, 2014 •I’m still playing catch up here but the quick view from yesterday on the forum “markets” pages wasn’t a bad summary, for those that caught that. Here the swiss team’s latest report: wklytech-20-5-14 Here an excellent chart pack from cs cs-techcharts-17-5-14 Here GS GS-mmwkly-17-5-14 Here MS FX MS-FXwkly-16-5-14 “We believe the stage is set for...
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Cross Asset Price Chart Technical Analysis – “The Coming Decline” 9th May14
by on May 11, 2014 •Its a wise trader/investor that knows how best to allocate his time at different stages of a market. Effective time allocation is a great part of mastering trading practice. We have a low volatility lull here as directional and indeed cross asset spreads stretch and fail to comply to historical means. Whats more these spreads...
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Weekly Technical Strategy Update – CS,GS,CB,JP,MS,Yardeni – 3rd May14
by on May 5, 2014 •Another Holiday in the UK today but time again for a technical run through here. I’m going to update this through the day so please keep referring to this doc as i will continue to add reports. Following on from last week’s technical confusion we see the theme continue this week as conviction levels for...
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Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “Upside SP500 1920 to 1970” 29th April14
by on Apr 30, 2014 •Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical analysis. They pick up on many of the same inter market comments as we have on the forum pages. China remains a key concern and has not bounced in the way they had hoped for. The Aud is highly correlated to the Shanghai. There remains continued...
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Weekly Cross Asset Markets Technical Analysis – CB,AG,GS,CS, Yardeni,SB – 27th April14
by on Apr 28, 2014 •Sunday evening so time to refresh on where we are for the week ahead across the major asset markets. As a general comment we keep getting these sell off Friday’s that makes for bad timing between the release of the Citi report and the AG report. Take away Friday’s bar from the AG charts and...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “April Low In Place, Buy Japan” 23rd April 14
by on Apr 23, 2014 •The Swiss team’s latest report was delayed by the long holiday weekend but it just been released. No wash out but a low is in place, according to the team’s analysis. They acknowledge near term the spx is over bought but fully expect a move higher to 2000 soon. They maintain their wave five expectation...
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Multi Market Technical Analysis Update – SC,CS,GS,JP,CB,AG 22nd April14
by on Apr 22, 2014 •Its been a long weekend of macro research for me looking to see if the data and macro trends can help illuminate the next macro trade for my book. Practice comment wise, sometimes this sort of work provides wonderful insightful macro direction and sometimes it doesn’t.On this occasion, so far, I’m struggling to draw clear...
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Weekly Techical Comments – “No Washout Yet” 15th April14
by on Apr 15, 2014 •Its that time of the week for the Swiss team’s usual run through of the major international asset markets. They expect further weakness for the major dm asset markets inc the sp500 (possible 1774) and Nik225 (13200). We have momentum to the downside here though some sectors like the Bio techs are deeply oversold. Ill...