Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactical Low Forming” 26th Jan16
by on Jan 26, 2016 •The probable scenario of a multi week rebound appears to be play here and the 2008 melt down scenario thankfully avoided. I’m traveling unfortunately so i leave the analysis to the reports. Ill add comment in a few days but in hindsight my own book’s timing is so far so good on both sides of...
Commodities / Companies / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis Alert – “Tactical Buy But Bear Mkt Confirmed” 19th Jan16
by on Jan 19, 2016 •The Swiss team have issued a Technical Alert as markets have moved so quickly in the last 2 weeks. With standing a bounce to 2100 Sp500, they have confirmed a bear market and therefore the probability moves to no new higher highs for the sp500 on this secular bull market. (Effectively this mirror’s JP’s call...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Interim Technical Analysis Update – “At Key Supports Across Markets” 17th Jan 2016
by on Jan 18, 2016 •The negative sentiment high momentum failure of Xmas rally has continued so that we are now at some key levels across many asset markets inc currencies and commodities and equities. Momentum is sufficiently strong and leverage has been sufficiently high that stop hunting can certainly occur here but we are over extended and sentiment is...
Interim 2016 Technical Analysis Updates – 7th Jan16
by on Jan 7, 2016 •As things are moving so fast here as we sweep through the 1980 support today on the Sp500 I want to bring you a few more 2016 Outlook technical updates. First up, today, Fitzpatrick’s latest comments. When he released this the support Sp500 was holding but for now its quickly fallen over and as his...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
The 2016 Technical Analysis Outlook – “7Yr Equity Cycle Rolling Over, Buy Gold” Jan16 V2
by on Jan 6, 2016 •Welcome to the first post for the 2016 year and I can’t remember starting a year to so much volatility and uncertainty. There is so much to comment on inside the following outlook but this to come. Without delay I want to bring you the technical “Swiss teams” outlook for 2016 and beyond which is...
Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Consolidating” 9th Dec15 V3
by on Dec 9, 2015 •Guys I’m traveling so a quick update here with more to follow later today. Here the Swiss team’s latest: wklytech-8-12-15 Here GS: gstech-7-12-15 3200 level on the eurostoxx 50 a fairly important pre xmas level. Draghi’s disappointing announcement leading to a reversal of the euro carry trade, for now. Its a perfect market event with...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Pre Xmas Rally Pullback” 24th Nov15 V2
by on Nov 25, 2015 •Some interesting price feedback from FX here aside the equity rally has continued. Although the US$ is continuing to make good strength vs sterling and the euro she has scored failure patterns vs several currencies inc the AUD and SGD, CAD and others. This could be a meaningful indicator that the US$’s strength could take...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Buy Weakness” 18th Nov15
by on Nov 19, 2015 •We have yet more soothing sounds from Central banks and asset markets appear to be preparing for the usual Christmas rally. In spite of the remaining technical issues cash is a dangerous asset in this world of understated inflation and persistently attentive central banks. It was right to go long on the lows of a...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “US Yields Breaking Out” 11th Nov15
by on Nov 12, 2015 •Some good reports this week with much discussion on the macro significance of the data and instrument movements. Breakouts by rates and US$ index, breakdown defensive utilities. Fitzpatrick commenting that the inflation benign tailwinds from lower oil prices is likely behind us setting up for a cyclical rally attempt vs defensive issues. As always monetary...
Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Still Overbought & Vulnerable” 04th Nov15 v2
by on Nov 5, 2015 •I’m traveling again so apologies for the delaying in issuing. This has been a nose bleeding retrace for dm equity markets. S&P close to making her prior highs. Nas100 new highs. From an allocation perspective, whatever the allocation be whether currencies, pms, bonds or commodities confusion reigns here. Usually confusion preempts a trend change, in...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Still Overbought” 27th Oct15
by on Oct 28, 2015 •The ECB and then the BOC certainly helped equity markets over come some key resistances. The Euro was dumped propelling European equities into breakouts of their recent down trends. Participants were forced to short cover and any late to the bear camp have been “rolled over”. Its worth noting that overall putcall ratios are nearly...
Commodities / Companies / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / member / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Short Term Toppish” 20th Oct15
by on Oct 21, 2015 •Guys, i wont go through what i’m up to but suffice to say I’m struggling to comment here due to life time pressures. In stead ill post the remaining reports and full comments later this week. For now here the major reports. Here the Swiss team as usual. Wklytech-20-10-15 And here GS with the same...