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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Short-Term Toppish” 2nd Dec14
by on Dec 3, 2014 •Another week rolls by with new highs for the major US indexes and a breakdown for many commodities. Technically the more interesting question is what is non confirming the new sp500 and Dow highs ? Where are the divergences and what is wrong with this picture of health? Before we get to the Swiss team’s...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Limited Further Upside” 25th November14
by on Nov 26, 2014 •The time of the week for a major release and tech update. This bull market is stronger that many would have ever imagined. Monetary induced or a real recovery no matter. We are paid on price and price is moving relentlessly higher. Cash as an asset class remains very undesirable and therefore all asset markets...
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Sunday Marco Update – 16th November14
by on Nov 16, 2014 •I will update this I promise later today. But here a preview in case you are also working this Sunday. To recap multi decade themes, our problems in our fiat US$ system are about debt and sustaining the exponential ms expansion. Its correct therefore that credit markets should continue to be a lead on what...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Topping, US$ Wave5 Complete, Gold Rallying” 11th Nov14
by on Nov 12, 2014 •Its Tuesday evening so time to review where we are here across the international asset markets. The recovery in stock prices has been near vertical. Momentum is finally fading and breadth on each new high is producing divergences on the near term. Sentiment via AAII as well as the put call ratios suggests extreme bullishness...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Over Bought Extremes, Early November Top, Take Profits” 04th Nov14
by on Nov 4, 2014 •The Swiss team are back and below please find their latest technical analysis comments on world markets. Its the usual excellent report. I would only want to add the strength of the breadth issue to build on the case for a confusing new December high in some US indexes and sectors, Nasdaq included! The recent...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Near Term Overbought” 29th Oct14
by on Oct 30, 2014 •We have a cut down technical update this week due to the Swiss team and AG traveling. Equities have bounced further and faster than many predicted with the sp500 having over achieved sp500 1985 yesterday) the Swiss team’s target of 1950. Sector wise technology and biotech are leading the charge with the biotechs scoring a...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SPX to 1940/1950 – 1820 Key Support 21st Oct14
by on Oct 21, 2014 •Asset markets have been moving very quickly over the last 10 days or so. I’m afraid last week I had to focus on my own practice and therefore was unable to bring you a full technical release. This week I have therefore included last week’s missing reports and expanding the usual release to include various...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Overshoot of 1850 possible, Close Shorts” 15th Oct14
by on Oct 15, 2014 •Without delay given markets are moving quickly here is the swiss team’s latest with updates to follow in the next few hours. weeklytech-15-10-14 More coming so please check back later today. Rich
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Intact Short Signal in SP500” 08th Oct14
by on Oct 8, 2014 •So far this correction appears to be one of the most well flagged corrections in living memory. Having said this is has been well flagged for some time so for early shorters that got ahead of price earlier in the year its been a very tough year. The old adage that “we are paid on...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Short Signal SP500” 30th Sept14
by on Sep 30, 2014 •Things have deteriorated further from last week with more fresh price sell signals being confirmed across various indexes and sectors. Unless we get a steep appreciation in price, reversing the price patterns we appear to have a near term price top in place. Here the Swiss team’s report: wklytech-30-9-14 And here citi: citi-30-9-14 And here...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Deflationary Pressures Building” 23rd Sept14
by on Sep 24, 2014 •As is normal volatility continues to rise and instruments are starting their Autumn move, lead by the US$ but now bringing in many key levels across instruments. The Swiss team set out their deflationary case in their report below. wklytech-24-9-14 Its a very familiar, one might say classic, corrective bounces aside, model of lower inflation,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “$ Bull Game Changer” 16th Sept14
by on Sep 17, 2014 •The Swiss are back from their holidays. They have released a very interesting new report which continues the theme we have seen for some extended time now of technical divergence between indicators and price across the major US indexes. They offer the possibility of a new Oct high in the SP500 of 2040 or so...