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CS Wealth & JP Equity – 22nd Nov13
by on Nov 24, 2013 •A couple of excellent CS Wealth reports. First up macro markets, stock picks and commodity comments CS-wklywealth-22-11-13 And here some specific technical comment and indicators. Even CS are picking up the sentiment issues here. CS-WealthAllocations-20-11-13 And here the usual outstanding JP Equity report inc technical indicators and stock picks etc. They remain uber bullish into...
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CS,DB,WF-MacroEcon-22-11-13
by on Nov 24, 2013 •A host of macro economically focused reports. Only the projections remain optimistic. All the near term data uniformly continues to disappoint, like earnings. Here the CS team taking a quick run through of the most recent global data points. CS-Macroecon-22-11-13 Here Australian team from DB reviewing and making some forecasts of the econ data. Their...
US Mkt Technical Analysis – Volatility, Mkt Internals, Sentiment, Price, LEIs, etc..
by on Nov 22, 2013 •A US centric report, inc everything in terms of tech analysis, but a decent analysis of market breadth. For this a ‘Capsyn’ proprietary report over the weekend. I’ll leave the detail to the report but its hard not to take a bearish take from the various technical indicators. Price work and market internal sector work...
JP-FX-21st Nov13
by on Nov 22, 2013 •Another brief run through on the FX tech, this time from JP. Note, possible near term 103.7 extension of the us$ vs jpy, according to the team. (Over bought comments remain in place. Likely additional short term entries only, imo, on this pair). JP-FX-21-11-13 Rich
Nomura-FXTech EURUSD,USDJPY 21st Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A very quick and brief couple of fx tech updates from the guys at Nomura. Both trades are very important to asset markets for obvious correlation reasons. Here the eurusd, the major component of the DX (dollar basket). nomura-eurusd-21-11-13 And here usdjpy Nomura-usdjpy-21-11-13 I’m biased long US$ vs the euro for now but its a...
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CS,Commerz – Mkt Strat & European PMI – 19th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A few wider multi market macro reports from Commerz and CS. Commerz-Mktstrat-19-11-13 And CS here CS-Macroecon-18-11-13 And some news just off the wires re the latest European PMIs. “An index based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry rose to a 29-month high of 51.5 from 51.3 in October”. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-21/euro-area-manufacturing-expands-for-a-fifth-month-led-by-germany.html Presented as...
BarCap,Commerz-Weekly Commodities & Credit & Bullion – “Paper Hard to Beat” 15th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •The weekly commentary from BarCap combining Fixed income and commodities. An interesting set of assets to combine here. Historic correlations and inverse correlations between the pair at different stages of the cycle. Worthy of comment and discussion in itself but another time and place. Commodities are under price pressure here. The monetary tail winds are...
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BarCap Equity Strat & Picks – 18th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •A couple of very useful weekly BarCap equity strat reports containing their equity recommendations and forecasts. I hope to make these regulars Barcap-equity2-11-11-13 barcap-equity-18-11-13 And here their monthly equity markets report with some good macro and sector internal work. Barcap-macroequity-17-11-13 As i’m in a positional equity trade on the IBEX market here CS on the...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “EM’s Relative Outperformance” 19th Nov13
by on Nov 20, 2013 •Here below the award winning Swiss team’s usual weekly technical analysis of the world’s major asset markets. We have breakouts in western markets and very promising developments in Japan and China. The Nikkie has scored a high momentum break out of her 6 month price distribution range and is threatening her May highs. The Chinese...
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MS & SC Weekly FX Reports – 15th & 19 Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here below the respective in house positions of MS and SC. MS making the US$ case correlating the strength to the deflationary backdrop. (Which is usually a dangerous cocktail for risk). Report here MS-WklyFX-15-11-13 Here SC retaining a ‘structurally bullish” position on the US and bullish the GBP vs US$ due to the positive “technicals...
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CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal...
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Global Macro Monthly & Weekly Economic Reviews & Forecasts – WF,CS,BarCap,Scan
by on Nov 18, 2013 •There is a lot of reading. Its for those with a bias to the fundamental data. The data remains soft or weak recovery, at best. And as WF perfectly asks, “Five Years, Three QEs and $3.5 Trillion Later, Where’s the Inflation?” And consider this. In previous nominal bull markets usually occur alongside some rise inflation...