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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Near Term Bounce Before October Falls” – 20th Sept16 V2
by on Sep 22, 2016 •So we have the bounce in risk and this becomes an important point to check the technicals on the progress of this attempt to rejoin and sustain the bull trend. To recap, it is especially important across risk as we have 1) so many risk assets not confirming the recent higher highs ie transports, sox,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SPX 8 to 10% Correction to End Oct – 14th Sept16
by on Sep 14, 2016 •Volatility has indeed jumped and so summer is officially over. The Swiss team have made a significant shift in their forecasts and have called the important medium term top on risk markets as in. In the near term a bounce but unlikely to make much progress beyond prior price highs. They forecast in stead an...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 to 2250, Breakout US EU Banks 6th Sept16
by on Sep 6, 2016 •Its been a very shallow trading range over the last month or so. We have some momentum coming back into the market as is so often the case in early September. I’m traveling unfortunately but i bring the Swiss team’s comments that are in line with the recent technical picture. Today’s weakness in the US$...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Vulnerable, Watch US$ & Rates & Japan 30th August16
by on Aug 30, 2016 •Its been an interesting week which seemed to strengthen those forecasting a stronger US$, higher rates and lower bond prices. This week the team have broadened their report to pick up on the very same issues I mentioned last week. They specifically highlight the very same USDSGD pair that i highlighted last week as in...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Watch the US$” 24th August 2016
by on Aug 24, 2016 •Markets have maintained a holiday like atmosphere with narrow trading ranges for several weeks now as volatility reduces across all asset classes. This, as the Swiss team suggest, is likely to change as the days roll by into the end of August. The latest report is a very carefully worded report with some key levels...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – Near Term Tactically Overbought – 16th Aug16
by on Aug 16, 2016 •The guys are back from their holidays but with a shortened report here. They pick up on the renewal of the commodity bull story which is the headline story in asset markets for me. Note GL, Anto, BHP (all of which i hold again). Commodity producer charts have surged over the last few months. Aside...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Crude Close to Key Supports” 5th Aug16
by on Aug 5, 2016 •We have drifted in to August and so holiday season is upon us. The swiss team have broken for holidays until later in the month but the usual suspects from GS and Citi are still at work. Across risk there is not a lot of new price evidence here other than new highs in bullion,...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk’s Breakout Confirmed but Tactically Toppish” 27th July16
by on Jul 27, 2016 •The Swiss team latest report has concluded that wave 5 is underway though near term we are tactically toppish which is likely to get resolved in August to allow for the rally to resume into Sept. Some strategic issues remain with this bull market for now and need to get resolved. Surely their resolution tells...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Make or Break Across Risk” 20th July16
by on Jul 20, 2016 •Another week has gone by but right across international risk there is very little new evidence from price here. We can look across US sectors like the small caps or russel2000 or transports or banking or tech sector or high yield or whatever you chose and there is no meaningful new evidence from price. Internationally...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Breakout or Fake” 13th July16
by on Jul 13, 2016 •Another good week for risk assets across the world but lead again by the strong US equity indexes of the sp500 and Dow Jones. The sp500 has made new record highs but lead by utilities, consumer discretionary and housing indexes. The cyclical sectors of soxx and nasdaq100, Russel 2000 have not yet confirmed the move...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Europe On The Edge” 6th July16
by on Jul 7, 2016 •Another week roles by and pricing of risk assets continues to diverge between US risk and world risk. US risk continues to be well bid vs the rest of the world. With the sp500 still close to record highs. Within the US markets breadth remains a key issue with some important cyclical sectors showing bad...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2
by on Jun 29, 2016 •What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50% retracement level but has scored significant technical damage to lead indexes like the US banks, Transports. Across...