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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Dec Overshoot Target S&P500 1850, Dax 9700.” 26th Nov13
by on Nov 26, 2013 •Here below the latest Swiss team’s technical weekly multi market comments and analysis. The price trend work remains intact as does sentiment and sectoral work with the finance sector finally joining the break out sectors. Europe, major index wise, the Dax remains bullish (as does the ftse100) but the IBEX is theoretically the beta especially...
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SC & CAN Global Mkts Strat Monthly – Dec13
by on Nov 25, 2013 •Couple of great monthly reports from SC and CAN. The SC report multi mkt and dealing with some leading tech indicators. SC remains fairly bullish on an extension of this rally, subject to any small 5% correction. Global economic review from CAN. Pretty optimistic and for strengthening growth for 2014 and 2015. We must recall...
BarCap,Commerz-Weekly Commodities & Credit & Bullion – “Paper Hard to Beat” 15th Nov13
by on Nov 21, 2013 •The weekly commentary from BarCap combining Fixed income and commodities. An interesting set of assets to combine here. Historic correlations and inverse correlations between the pair at different stages of the cycle. Worthy of comment and discussion in itself but another time and place. Commodities are under price pressure here. The monetary tail winds are...
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “EM’s Relative Outperformance” 19th Nov13
by on Nov 20, 2013 •Here below the award winning Swiss team’s usual weekly technical analysis of the world’s major asset markets. We have breakouts in western markets and very promising developments in Japan and China. The Nikkie has scored a high momentum break out of her 6 month price distribution range and is threatening her May highs. The Chinese...
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CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13
by on Nov 19, 2013 •Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal...
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JP Weekly Equity Update – “S&P500 YE Target 1825”
by on Nov 17, 2013 •I hope all had a good weekend. I apologize but we had a big electrical lightening storm here which wiped out the power for around 12 hours earlier today hence the delay in posting these new reports. Here below the weekly equity report from JPM. Its an excellent report. The sectoral analysis is on the...
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MS Wealth – Macro Mkts Nov & CS “Core Strat 12th Nov13
by on Nov 15, 2013 •Here a couple of “best practice” macro multi market reports containing a mix of fundamental and tech. Pulling all the various themes together. First, the MS Wealth report. A walk through of the major issues and they include an interview with Jim Rogers, who is always worth listening to from a longer term macro. Here...
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CS Global Macro Charts, FX Strat & Tech 14th Nov13
by on Nov 14, 2013 •Here a run through from CS of the global asset markets. Here last weeks global macro chart pack from them which is a useful quick ref report i find: CS-MacroChartswkly-07-11-13 Here this week’s latest report on the same format: CS-MacroChartswkly-13-11-13 And here the usual CS weekly FX tech report, below. A good global view this...
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Commodity Update – CS,Commerz,Nomura,etc.. 14th Nov13
by on Nov 14, 2013 •Here a group of reports on the commodity asset class. They have badly under performed as an asset class from mid 2011. UBS have turned bullish due to a renewal in weakness for the US$ (they believe) and the out performance of the cyclical themes. The dollar basket monetary issue is key, i believe, until...
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Weekly Technical Analysis 12th Nov13 – “SP500 1775/1780 Possible Extension to 1850”
by on Nov 12, 2013 •Here below the multi award winning Swiss team’s report. Despite the “Lowest Bearishness in the US Since 1987″ the Swiss team have issued a fairly bullish report proposing a final leg up to close the year end books. Its certainly a possibility as price isn’t showing any obvious weakness here. Their medium term view hasn’t...
BarCap – Fixed Income & Commodities – “Deflationary” 08th Nov13
by on Nov 12, 2013 •Here a short but sweet BarCap report from Friday, aligning some dots to arrive at a deflationary picture with falling commodity prices, rising DX and rising fixed income rates. Its dangerous this. And especially dangerous given the equity market technical weakness. No equity chart but the distribution in price and internal tech would compliment well!...
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BarCap & WF – Macro Economics (Focus US, Canada & Japan) – 11th Nov13
by on Nov 12, 2013 •Here below the usual weekly round up from the team at WF. Just quickly look through these charts. And recall what has happened to earnings this year and what is likely to be reported for q3 and q4! The US picture is at best weak. The Euro loan growth to the private sector is a...